这一表现与同期上市的国产GPU（图形处理器）企业形成了鲜明对比。就在数日前，壁仞科技在港上市 首日录得75.82%的涨幅；前一阵AI芯片的上市潮中，摩尔线程首日大涨469%、沐曦首日大涨693%，一 来源：市场资讯 （来源：荷马财经） 头顶"全球大模型第一股"光环，北京智谱华章科技股份有限公司（02513.HK，下称"智谱AI"）今日登 陆港交所，却在热闹中迎来一丝凉意。 智谱AI股票发行价定为116.20港元，开盘小幅上涨3.27%至120港元，但随后震荡下行，并于上午9时50 分左右触及116.10港元的日内低点，跌破发行价。 （图片来源：网络，侵删） 截至午间收盘，股价回升至129.8港元，涨幅定格在11.70%，总市值571.42亿港元。 度为打新投资者带来近40万元的浮盈。 为何未能复制GPU"神话"？ 从政策与产业逻辑看，GPU作为AI算力的核心硬件，直接处于"国产替代"和"科技自主"的风口。在外部 高端芯片供应受限的背景下，国产GPU厂商获得了确定性的市场窗口和明确的客户需求（数据中心、云 厂商）。其商业模式清晰——销售芯片及解决方案，盈利路径相对较短。 而大模型作为AI的应用层，虽然同样备受政 ...

沐曦股份本次公开发行股份数量为4010万股，发行价格为104.66元/股，募集资金总额为419686.60万元，募集资金净额为389931.10万元。 12月17日，在众所期待中，沐曦股份（688802）踏上了A股市场，不出所料，它让一众中签者欢呼雀跃：开盘价700元！上涨568.83%！一签至少赚钱20 万！ 从书面文字介绍来看，沐曦股份和摩尔线程皆是中国GPU的领军企业，它们是中国高质量发展的代表性企业，是科技自主、科技创新的践行者，可以 说，在一定程度上，它们承载着击败国际科技巨头垄断、打破科技卡脖子的厚望。 然而，前不久摩尔线程公告称，拟使用不超过75亿元的部分闲置募集资金进行现金管理。一下子把热心的民众淋成了落汤鸡，把急切的希望变成了透心 凉。在一般民众眼中，摩尔线程融资是为了搞科研，不是用来理财，而现实和期待有着巨大的鸿沟。 那么，沐曦股份会不会重蹈摩尔线程的覆辙，也发一个理财公告？笔者认为，有了摩尔线程的前车之鉴，沐曦股份应该不会再在上市没几天之后，也同 样发一个理财公告吧。 张力制图 最近的新股赚钱效应确实可以，特别是摩尔线程，上市当天就让中签的股民享受到了巨大快乐：当日最高价卖出一签，可以获 ...

今天上午，市场给了我们一个久违的"大个子"阳线，上证指数一口气涨了0.64%，重新站回了3900点。 关键是，成交量明显放大了，半天就干了将近1.2万亿，比昨天同时段多了近千亿。这个"量价齐升"的 场面，算是给连日的震荡送来了一点暖意。 盘面上，热闹得很，但主线似乎又在玩"捉迷藏"。最吸睛的无疑是海南板块，可以说是全线爆发，掀起 涨停潮。这背后，除了区域政策的长期期待，更像是在当前缺乏绝对主线的环境下，资金对确定性主题 的一次集中拥抱。同时，存储芯片和贵金属这两个老朋友也表现活跃，一个代表着科技自主的产业趋 势，另一个则始终是宏观不确定性下的"压舱石"。 但是，帮主也要给大家提个醒。热闹的另一面，是快速的轮动和分化。医药商业、影视院线等板块明显 调整，这说明市场的风险偏好并没有全面回升，资金只是在几个有限的、逻辑相对硬的筐里跳来跳去。 这种格局下，指数往上走一步，都显得比较犹豫。 所以，对于下午的行情，我的观点很明确：谨慎乐观，切忌追高。 上午的放量上涨是个积极信号，确 认了3900点下方有一定的承接力。但如果午后成交量不能持续温和放大，甚至出现萎缩，那么指数很可 能会在当前位置附近震荡整固。 朋友们中午好， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the successful IPO of Muxi Co., Ltd. (沐曦股份), which saw a significant opening price and a substantial increase on its debut, reflecting the strong market interest in new tech stocks, particularly in the GPU sector [1][4]. Summary by Sections IPO Performance - Muxi Co., Ltd. debuted on the A-share market on December 17, with an opening price of 700 CNY, marking an increase of 568.83% from its issue price of 104.66 CNY per share. Investors who received shares could earn at least 200,000 CNY from a single lot [1]. - The total number of shares issued was 40.1 million, raising approximately 419.69 million CNY in total funds, with a net amount of 389.93 million CNY after expenses [1]. Market Context - The article compares Muxi Co., Ltd. to other successful IPOs, such as Moore Threads, which provided significant returns to investors shortly after listing. For instance, Moore Threads allowed investors to earn over 280,000 CNY on the first day and more than 400,000 CNY by the fifth day [3]. - Muxi Co., Ltd. is positioned as a leading company in the domestic GPU market, focusing on high-performance GPU products for AI training, inference, and graphics rendering. The company is noted for its "soft and hard integration" product matrix and aims for high-end product development [4]. Industry Significance - Both Muxi Co., Ltd. and Moore Threads are seen as representatives of China's high-quality development in technology, embodying the aspirations for technological independence and innovation against international competition [4]. - The article raises concerns about potential missteps similar to those of Moore Threads, particularly regarding the use of raised funds for cash management rather than R&D, suggesting that Muxi Co., Ltd. should avoid such actions post-IPO [5].

民用航空业是现代工业的"皇冠"，对中国国内经济和科技而言，它具有显著的"乘数效应"，能带动材 料、电子、制造、计算机等数十个领域的关键技术群体突破，带动产业升级和创造就业岗位。对世界而 言，中国的C909、C919，不仅是一种区别于波音和空客的消费选择，也为打破西方技术和产业垄断、 增强世界供应链稳定性提供了"中国方案"。上个月C919在迪拜航展上亮相广受欢迎的情景充分说明， 中国大飞机产业的突破，不仅是中国高端制造业发出的自信强音，也点亮了全球航空市场多元化发展的 希望之光。 C909这条"从0到1"经过验证的路径，鼓舞着中国的科技自主，其意义超越了一型飞机本身。展望未 来，中国拥有的全球发展最快、潜力最大的单一航空市场的优势没有变，中国拥有的完整工业体系的优 势没有变，大飞机产业作为国家战略重点获得长期、稳定、顶层的资源支持和政策保障也不会变——事 实上，加快航空航天等战略性新兴产业集群发展已赫然写入"十五五"规划建议，中国大飞机发展从来不 缺底气。 然而，越是里程碑时刻，我们越需要清醒地看到，在空客和波音超过半个世纪甚至百年的积淀面前， C909的成绩单只是一张"入场券"，而非"功劳簿"。175架的交付 ...

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Policy - The Federal Reserve is facing internal divisions regarding interest rate decisions, with 10 out of 19 FOMC members opposing rate cuts, while the White House is advocating for significant easing [3] - There is a high probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in the upcoming meeting, with current estimates showing an 87.6% chance of a cut [3] - The strategy of "cutting rates first and then setting limits" may be adopted by Powell to align with market expectations while raising future easing thresholds [3] Group 2: Technology and Semiconductor Industry - The U.S. government has allowed NVIDIA to export H200 AI chips to "approved customers" in China, with a 25% revenue share taken by the government [4] - China is planning to restrict access to H200 chips to promote technological independence and support domestic AI chip development [4] - The strategic shift towards self-reliance in technology is seen as irreversible despite U.S. efforts to increase revenue through exports [4] Group 3: Corporate Developments - Eli Lilly announced a $6 billion investment to build a factory in Huntsville, Alabama, focusing on the production of the upcoming oral weight-loss drug orforglipron and other medications [10] - The factory is expected to create 450 permanent jobs and 3,000 construction jobs, with operations slated to begin in 2026 and completion by 2032 [10] - The drug orforglipron has received priority review from the FDA, with a market application expected by the end of 2025 [10] Group 4: Corporate Restructuring - Alibaba has established a new C-end business group called Qianwen, integrating its previous smart information and smart interconnect divisions [13] - The new group aims to create a super app that encompasses shopping, travel, and office services, while expanding into various devices such as glasses, PCs, and cars [13] - The management has positioned this initiative as a critical battle for the future in the AI era, focusing on providing users with AI capabilities across multiple scenarios [13]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry or Company Involved - The report focuses on the evolving export control policies between China and the United States, particularly in the context of strategic competition and geopolitical tensions. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Current State of US-China Relations**: The relationship has seen a temporary easing, but the long-term strategic competition remains unchanged, with high risks of tightening export control policies [1][10][21]. 2. **Export Control Risks**: Despite a pause in the implementation of new rare earth regulations announced in October, existing measures from April remain effective, indicating a strategic tightening rather than a complete abandonment of control [1][12][23]. 3. **Three Scenarios for US-China Relations**: - **Baseline Scenario**: A one-year "ceasefire" agreement is expected to marginally benefit the economy and stock market, with a potential 10 basis point increase in actual GDP growth due to tariff reductions [1][15]. - **Pessimistic Scenario**: An early breakdown of the ceasefire could lead to increased tariffs and non-tariff barriers, resulting in a decline in the MSCI China index's forward P/E ratio below 12 times [2][17]. - **Optimistic Scenario**: A framework agreement could improve economic conditions, with the MSCI China index potentially exceeding a forward P/E ratio of 14 times [2][20]. 4. **Impact on Key Sectors**: The AI and technology sectors are expected to face short-term pressures but may benefit from China's push for technological self-sufficiency in the medium term [18][19]. 5. **Geopolitical Strategy**: China is likely to use export controls as a strategic tool in its geopolitical negotiations, particularly in critical materials like rare earths, to counter US technology restrictions [11][24][25]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Long-term Strategic Competition**: The ongoing competitive dynamics between the US and China suggest that temporary agreements may not lead to lasting resolutions, with periodic tensions expected to continue [11][22]. 2. **China's Export Control Framework**: The evolution of China's export control laws indicates a shift towards a more structured and strategic approach to managing critical materials, which could impact global supply chains [26]. 3. **Market Sentiment and Valuation**: The report suggests that improved market sentiment could stabilize valuations, with the MSCI China index maintaining a forward P/E ratio in line with emerging markets [15][20]. 4. **Technological Self-sufficiency Challenges**: China's current low self-sufficiency rates in critical technology sectors, such as EDA software, highlight vulnerabilities that could be exacerbated by US export controls [27]. This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current landscape and future implications for investors and stakeholders in the context of US-China relations and export controls.

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is buoyed by the sentiment and policy expectations from the mainland, particularly in technology and consumer sectors, leading to improved valuation expectations for mainland companies listed in Hong Kong [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The mainland's proactive policies on technological independence and consumer stimulation significantly enhance the valuation expectations for technology and consumer companies listed in Hong Kong [1] - The technology growth sector is expected to continue being a market focus due to the clear policy direction from the government promoting technological self-reliance [1] - A structural differentiation in the market is anticipated, with hotspots likely to concentrate in specific areas that benefit from policy catalysts and industrial breakthroughs [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - Benefiting from the mainland's policy support in technology and consumption, related sectors are expected to continue their recovery trend [1] - The development of Hong Kong's own biotechnology industry may also present structural opportunities [1] Group 3: Investment Products - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), covering core assets in the Hong Kong market such as internet, innovative pharmaceuticals, and new energy vehicles [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index has a higher allocation in new energy vehicles and innovative pharmaceuticals compared to the Hang Seng Technology Index [1] - From the base date at the end of 2014 to October 2025, the cumulative return of the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index is 256.46%, outperforming the Hang Seng Technology Index by nearly 160% [1]

Group 1: A-Share Market - The A-share market experienced an overall increase, with small-cap stocks outperforming large-cap stocks. The CSI 2000 index and the ChiNext index rose by 4.99% and 4.54% respectively, while the SSE 50 index only increased by 0.47% [6] - The market's structural rise was primarily driven by positive developments in the technology sector, particularly a significant partnership between Google and Meta, which is expected to enhance the performance of core hardware suppliers like Zhongji Xuchuang [6][7] - Looking ahead, the technology growth sector is anticipated to remain a market focus due to strong government support for technological self-reliance. However, a decrease in trading volume may indicate reduced investor enthusiasm for high-priced stocks, leading to potential rapid rotations and short-term volatility in specific sectors [7] Group 2: Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong market also saw gains, with the Hang Seng Technology Index leading the way with a 3.77% increase, while the Hang Seng Index rose by 2.53%. The materials, discretionary consumer, and healthcare sectors performed well, whereas the energy sector declined [8] - The positive performance in the Hong Kong market was largely influenced by sentiment and policy expectations from the mainland, particularly a new implementation plan aimed at enhancing the adaptability of supply and demand for consumer goods [8] - Future trends in the Hong Kong market are expected to closely align with mainland policies and market sentiment. The technology and healthcare sectors are likely to benefit from ongoing policy support, while investors should remain vigilant regarding the Federal Reserve's policy direction and its impact on global liquidity [8]

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor stocks are experiencing an upward trend, driven by increasing demand for AI computing power and domestic advancements in chip technology [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Semiconductor stocks rose in early trading, with Hua Hong Semiconductor up 5.22% to HKD 76.6 and SMIC up 4.14% to HKD 71.7 [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - According to Zhongyuan Securities, the semiconductor industry is expected to continue its upward trend through 2025, with U.S. export controls on semiconductors intensifying [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes enhancing technological self-reliance, positioning semiconductors as a key area for achieving this goal [1] - By 2026, demand for AI computing power is projected to remain strong, with rapid growth in cloud-side AI hardware infrastructure [1] Group 3: AI and Domestic Chip Development - The demand for computing power is increasing due to the explosive growth in the usage of large AI models, marking a shift towards large-scale implementation in the industry [1] - Domestic AI chip companies are rapidly developing, achieving significant progress in domestic substitution, with companies like Moer and Muxi accelerating their capital market strategies [1] - Internet firms such as Tencent are actively adapting to domestic computing power chips, which is expected to accelerate the formation of a domestic computing ecosystem [1]