低隐含波动率
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Why AppLovin Stock Could Blow Past Its Record High
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-12-10 19:11
Core Insights - AppLovin Corp (NASDAQ:APP) stock has experienced a decline of 3.6%, trading at $699.65, amidst challenges in the tech sector ahead of an interest rate decision, despite a strong performance over the past week and a 158.2% increase over the last nine months [1] - The stock is nearing its record high of $745.61 from September 29, with bullish signals indicating potential for a new peak [1] Performance Metrics - The recent surge in AppLovin stock is associated with low implied volatility, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 57%, ranking in the 12th percentile of its annual range; historically, similar conditions have led to a 71% chance of higher stock prices one month later, averaging a 12.6% gain [2] - If the stock follows this trend, it could reach a new record high of $787.80 [2] Short Interest Dynamics - Short interest has decreased by 9.3% in the latest reporting period, with 14.87 million shares sold short, representing 6% of the stock's available float, indicating potential buying power [4] - The current short interest suggests that a continued exit of short positions could further propel the stock price upward [4] Options Market Sentiment - Short-term options traders are exhibiting unusual bearishness, as indicated by the Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) in the 88th percentile of its annual range; an unwinding of this pessimism could provide additional support for the stock [5]
Blue-Chip Stock Could Surge to Highest Level Since 2019
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-11-26 19:43
Core Insights - 3M Co (NYSE:MMM) stock is experiencing a potential fourth consecutive daily gain, currently trading at $171.74, having bounced off resistance at the $160 level and nearing its four-year high of $172.85 [1] - The stock's recent peak is accompanied by low implied volatility, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 23%, which is in the 17th percentile of its annual range, historically leading to a 70% chance of a price increase one month later, averaging a 2.6% rise [3] - Analysts show a generally bullish outlook on 3M stock, with six out of 16 brokerage firms still holding a "hold" or worse rating, indicating potential for upgrades [4] - Options traders are currently more bearish than usual, with a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.67, ranking higher than 98% of annual readings, suggesting that an unwinding of this pessimism could benefit the stock [5]
Discount Retail Stock Ready for Next Leg Higher
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-17 16:33
Group 1 - Five Below Inc's stock is currently down 1.2% to $124.92 following disappointing retail sales data for May, but it has a 22.9% gain over the past nine months and recently reached a 52-week high of $137.30 on June 5, with a support level at $120 [1] - The stock's recent peak coincides with low implied volatility, indicated by a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 46%, which is in the 14th percentile of its annual range; historically, after similar occurrences, the stock has risen 67% of the time one month later, averaging a 5% increase [2] - Short interest in Five Below has decreased by 31.3% in the most recent reporting period, although it still represents 6.2% of the stock's available float, suggesting potential for further upward movement if short sellers continue to exit [3] Group 2 - The equity's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is high at 95 out of 100, indicating that the stock has historically exceeded volatility expectations, which may benefit options buyers looking to capitalize on future price movements [4]
History Says Snowflake Stock Could Fly Even Higher
Forbes· 2025-05-28 19:45
Core Insights - Snowflake (SNOW) shares are currently trading at $205.77, having reached an annual high of $209.29, with a composite rating increase to 96 [1] - The company has formed a partnership with the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics, contributing to a 13.4% stock increase following its earnings report on May 22 [1] - Despite a year-to-date profit of 33%, SNOW's stock remains significantly below its peak of $390 in December 2020, indicating potential for further gains [1] Volatility and Performance - Snowflake exhibits low implied volatility (IV) at 38%, ranking in the low 16th percentile of its annual range, while being within 2% of a 52-week high [2] - Historical data shows that similar low IV signals in the past three years led to an average gain of 3.9% one month later [2] Options Market Sentiment - There is an increased popularity of puts in the options market, with the 50-day put/call volume ratio at the ISE, CBOE, and PHLX standing in the 86th percentile of annual readings [3] - A potential unwinding of this bearish sentiment could provide a tailwind for Snowflake shares [3]