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刚刚!霍尔木兹海峡,重磅突发!
券商中国· 2025-06-22 14:02
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran, which could significantly impact global oil prices and supply chains, as it is a critical maritime route for oil transportation. Group 1: Strait of Hormuz and Oil Supply - The Iranian parliament has expressed support for closing the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage for approximately one-third of the world's maritime oil trade [2][3][4] - If the Strait is closed, oil prices could surge past $120 per barrel, leading to increased transportation costs and severe supply delays [4] - The closure could be seen as a last resort, with significant military actions required to enforce it, potentially taking weeks or months to reopen [4] Group 2: Impact on Shipping Industry - The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran has caused anxiety within the shipping industry, leading to a decrease in the number of vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz [5][6] - Major shipping associations have noted that the threat of conflict is sufficient to disrupt shipping operations significantly [6] Group 3: Military and Political Context - The situation is characterized by high uncertainty, with potential military actions from Iran against U.S. and Israeli interests being a possibility [7][8][9] - Following U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, there is heightened security and vigilance in the U.S. regarding potential retaliatory actions from Iran [10][11][12] - The political landscape in the U.S. is tense, with criticism directed at President Trump for unilateral military actions without congressional approval [13]