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南钢股份(600282):产品结构持续优化 盈利继续稳健增长
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 08:27
Core Viewpoints - The company reported a net profit of 2.176 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.12%, with Q3 alone achieving a net profit of 713 million yuan, marking the best quarterly performance since Q3 2022 [1] - The company's product structure is continuously optimized, with the proportion of low-margin construction rebar decreasing from 12.61% in 2024 to 9.33%, while the share of higher-margin special steel long products has risen to over 35%, driving steady profit growth [1] - The company is making significant advancements in high-end materials, achieving breakthroughs in critical areas, which is expected to enhance profitability [1][2] Company Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's gross margin reached a new high of 15.07%, indicating strong profitability driven by product structure optimization [1] - The gross margin for advanced steel materials reached 20.3% by Q3 2025, with a continuous increase in profit contribution from these high-margin products [1] Industry Outlook - Recent measures to reduce production capacity in the steel industry are expected to stabilize steel prices and enhance profit margins for steel companies [2] - The cumulative crude steel production in China has decreased by 2.6% year-on-year as of September 2025, indicating a trend towards supply-demand balance in the industry [2] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company has adjusted its forecasts for special steel long product sales upwards and construction rebar sales downwards, predicting earnings per share of 4.62, 4.92, and 5.27 yuan for 2025-2027 [3] - Based on a comparable company PB valuation of 1.45X for 2025, the target price is set at 6.68 yuan, maintaining a buy rating [3]