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连破六个“千亿”!债券ETF规模再创新高,会否超过股票ETF?
券商中国· 2025-11-03 15:30
Core Insights - The total scale of bond ETFs has officially surpassed 700 billion yuan, marking the sixth "billion" milestone achieved this year [1][2] - Over 70% of the current scale was added in 2025, with 32 out of 53 products launched this year, accounting for more than 60% [1] - The bond ETF market has seen a net inflow of approximately 4.23 billion yuan, contributing significantly to the overall ETF market's net inflow of around 9.8 billion yuan [5][7] Growth of Bond ETFs - As of November 3, the total scale of bond ETFs reached 700.44 billion yuan, having increased by 1 billion yuan since late September [2] - The bond ETF market has consistently broken through multiple thresholds since early 2025, with significant growth observed in the number of products and their individual scales [2][3] - The number of bond ETF products has increased to 53, with a total scale of 700.44 billion yuan, of which 520.58 billion yuan is new growth this year, representing 74.29% of the total [3] Product Performance - Among the 53 bond ETFs, 30 have surpassed 10 billion yuan in scale, with 9 exceeding 20 billion yuan [4] - The largest bond ETF is the short-term bond ETF from Hai Fu Tong Fund, exceeding 65 billion yuan, followed by several others with significant scales [4] - The variety of bond ETFs has expanded to include convertible bonds, government bonds, corporate bonds, and more, with a notable increase in the number of sci-tech bond ETFs launched recently [4] Market Trends - The continuous inflow of funds into bond ETFs indicates a strong market trend, with 45 out of 53 products experiencing net inflows this year [5][7] - The trend towards multi-asset ETFs with a focus on bonds is expected to grow, with companies likely to lead in this area due to their first-mover advantage [5][8] - The bond ETF market is compared to the rapid growth of stock ETFs a few years ago, suggesting a similar trajectory for future development [9] Future Outlook - There is a prevailing sentiment that the scale of bond ETFs could theoretically surpass that of stock ETFs, given the larger underlying asset base in the bond market [9][10] - Factors influencing this potential growth include the performance of actively managed bond funds and the management costs associated with bond ETFs [10]