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富创精密(688409):25Q3收入提速,先进制程ODM逻辑开始显现
HUAXI Securities· 2025-11-02 09:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.73 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.0%, with Q3 revenue reaching 1.01 billion yuan, up 24.5% year-on-year, indicating a continued acceleration in revenue growth [3] - The company is experiencing significant demand for advanced process components, which is expected to enhance revenue growth in Q4, supported by a 47% year-on-year increase in contract liabilities as of the end of Q3 [3] - The company's net profit for Q3 2025 was 25.21 million yuan, with a net profit margin of 2.24%, reflecting stable profitability despite a decline due to high depreciation and pre-investment costs [4] - The ODM model is gaining traction in the industry, with the company being one of the few manufacturers capable of mass production at the 7nm level, positioning it for significant growth in the semiconductor equipment parts market, projected to exceed 20 billion USD in 2024 [5] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are set at 3.923 billion, 5.177 billion, and 7.011 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 29.1%, 32.0%, and 35.4% [6] - Adjusted net profit forecasts for the same period are 103 million, 196 million, and 442 million yuan, reflecting a significant recovery in profitability after a projected decline in 2025 [6] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.34, 0.64, and 1.44 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6]