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碳酸锂主力合约创新高!机构称2026年锂电行情有望延续,电池ETF(159755)盘中涨超2%,成分股恩捷股份10cm涨停
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 06:20
Group 1 - The lithium battery sector in A-shares continues to strengthen, with lithium carbonate futures breaking through 130,000 yuan, rising over 8% and reaching a new high since November 2023 [1] - The upstream supply of the lithium carbonate industry chain is tightening, with major companies Hunan Youneng and Wanrun New Energy announcing production cuts, reducing phosphate positive material output by 15,000 to 35,000 tons and lithium iron phosphate output by 5,000 to 20,000 tons respectively [1] - Citic Futures indicates that the trading logic for new energy metals remains strong, with a tight supply-demand balance for lithium carbonate, and concerns about supply disruptions increasing due to delayed resumption of a mica mine in Jiangxi and potential policy adjustments for lithium mines in Nigeria [1] Group 2 - Dongxing Securities states that after a clearing and destocking phase in 2023-2024, the lithium battery supply chain has emerged from the cycle bottom, with demand maintaining unexpectedly high growth, leading to price stabilization and upward trends in profits for certain segments [2] - Wenkang Securities predicts that the lithium battery industry will enter a new demand cycle and material upgrade phase in 2026, with a tightening supply-demand balance, and emphasizes the importance of material supply security for battery companies [2] - New technology routes such as solid-state batteries, high-pressure lithium iron phosphate, silicon-based anodes, and sodium batteries are highlighted as areas of progress worth monitoring [2] Group 3 - As of December 26, 2025, the Guozheng New Energy Vehicle Battery Index rose by 2.31%, with the battery ETF (159755) increasing by 2.27%, and a 5.06% rise over the past week [3] - Key component stocks such as Enjie Co., Ltd. hit the daily limit, with significant increases in other stocks like Xingyuan Material and Tianhua New Energy [3] - The battery ETF has seen a growth of 206 million yuan in scale over the past week and an increase of 1.35 billion shares over the past three months, indicating significant growth [3]