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光伏硅料价格上涨
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积极信号!减产控销破“内卷”,多因素支撑光伏硅料价格上涨
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-23 08:59
Core Viewpoint - The recent increase in polysilicon prices is attributed to production cuts and controlled sales by polysilicon manufacturers, which have alleviated market supply pressure [1][3]. Group 1: Polysilicon Market Dynamics - The average transaction price for N-type polysilicon has risen to 47,900 CNY/ton, a week-on-week increase of 1.05% [1]. - N-type granular silicon has an average transaction price of 46,000 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 3.37% [1]. - Major polysilicon manufacturers are implementing varying degrees of production cuts, with the largest reductions from the top two companies, leading to increased overall costs and expectations for price increases [1][3]. Group 2: Supply and Inventory Concerns - Despite the price increases, there are still pressures in the supply chain, with August polysilicon production estimated at 125,000 to 130,000 tons [3]. - The industry is expected to see an accumulation of inventory, with an estimated increase of about 20,000 tons in August and September [3]. - The optimistic outlook from the silicon industry association suggests that, despite inventory pressures, the average price of polysilicon is likely to continue rising due to production cuts and cost increases [3]. Group 3: Silicon Wafer and Cell Pricing - Silicon wafer prices have remained stable, with average transaction prices for 183N, 210RN, and 210N wafers at 1.20 CNY/piece, 1.35 CNY/piece, and 1.55 CNY/piece, respectively [3]. - The market sentiment for silicon wafers is positive, but end-user demand has not significantly improved, leading to a stalemate between buyers and sellers [3][4]. - In the battery cell segment, average transaction prices for 183N, 210RN, and 210N cells are stable at 0.29 CNY/W, 0.285 CNY/W, and 0.285 CNY/W, respectively [4]. Group 4: Component Market Trends - The component market is experiencing weak terminal demand, with new orders being minimal and primarily focused on fulfilling previous orders [5]. - Recent bidding prices for components range from 0.68 CNY/W to 0.75 CNY/W, indicating a decline in overall transaction prices [5]. - The market remains cautious, with the need to observe the effectiveness of policy implementations affecting component pricing [5].