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福斯特(603806):胶膜格局优化 电子材料打开成长空间
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 06:31
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a significant drop in Q3 performance compared to the previous year and quarter [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 11.788 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 688 million, down 45% year-on-year [1] - In Q3, the company recorded revenue of 3.929 billion, a year-on-year decline of 13% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 12%, with a net profit of 192 million, down 42% year-on-year but up 103% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Operational Analysis - Q3 shipments slightly decreased, with fluctuations in raw material and film product prices impacting profitability; the company’s Q3 sales gross margin was 8.89%, down 2.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company’s market share in film products remained stable despite a 5% quarter-on-quarter decline in film shipments, totaling 722 million square meters in Q3 [2] - The competitive landscape in the photovoltaic film sector is improving, with the company maintaining profitability while other second and third-tier companies are reducing capacity or exiting the market [2] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is leading in overseas capacity expansion, with the second phase of its Thailand facility producing 250 million square meters of film, expected to enhance overseas shipments and solidify profitability [3] - The company is advancing technology research and development for new products, including XBC, HJT, thin-film batteries, and perovskite modules, aiming to improve profitability through differentiated products [3] - The company’s photoresist film business is entering a performance release phase, with Q3 sales reaching 50 million square meters, indicating a continuous growth trend [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company adjusted its net profit forecast for 2025-2027 to 1.09 billion, 1.82 billion, and 2.65 billion, respectively, highlighting significant profitability advantages in film products and an improving competitive landscape [4] - The photovoltaic industry is expected to recover, driven by reduced internal competition, while the photoresist film and other electronic materials businesses are entering a high-growth phase [4]