证券日报网讯 1月5日，福斯特在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司在电子材料领域目前主要有三 大产品，其中感光干膜用于PCB/FPC的线路蚀刻，FCCL（挠性覆铜板）用于柔性线路板（FPC）的基 材，感光覆盖膜（PSPI）用于精细线路的保护材料。目前这三大产品均实现批量化销售，其中感光干膜 销量最大，产品类型已经向服务器线路板领域转型，未来随着电子电路产业及技术的发展，公司的电子 材料有望进入量利齐增的阶段。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

盈利预测与估值：公司为光伏胶膜龙头，市占率全球第一，光伏胶膜多产品布局，技术领先，且成本控 制能力较强，在光伏胶膜企业普遍亏损的情况下，公司依然实现盈利，体现了公司胶膜业务的核心竞争 力。公司执行"平台型新材料"公司战略，感光干膜业务量利齐升，铝塑膜业务蓄势待发，有望打造第二 增长曲线，强化穿越周期能力。我们预计公司25~27 年归母净利润分别为10.24/18.27/24.14 亿元，当前 股价对应PE 分别为36/20/15 倍，出于谨慎性考虑，我们给予公司26 年可比公司平均PE 估值26 倍，首 次覆盖，给予公司"买入"评级。 公司为胶膜龙头企业，近两年市占稳定在50%左右，并在出清中强化优势。福斯特在光伏胶膜领域具备 全球领先的市场份额，积极拓展泰国等海外产能，强化全球供货布局，有效覆盖海外需求增长。福斯特 在光伏胶膜业务中持续保持行业领先的毛利率与盈利能力，显著优于多数同行业公司。2025 年上半年 多家企业光伏胶膜业务毛利率为负或处于极低水平，而公司依然实现较好盈利，行业整体呈现"一超多 弱"格局。 风险提示：价格上涨不及预期。行业竞争加剧风险。海外市场政策变动风险。电子材料业务发展不及预 期。 ...

Summary of Foster's Conference Call Company Overview - Foster has a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-asset ratio below 20% and no bank debt, holding approximately 8 billion yuan in cash reserves to support business development and return value to investors. The cash dividend ratio exceeded 50% last year, with over 600 million yuan distributed, and this trend will continue this year [2][5]. Industry Insights - The price of EVA films is expected to rebound by 2026, with Foster maintaining low inventory levels of about one month. The proportion of white EVA films is decreasing, with EVA and POE films each accounting for nearly half of the production [2][7]. - The photovoltaic new materials sector is anticipated to remain stable, with overseas markets maintaining high demand, potentially increasing market share. Electronic materials are expected to grow by over 30%, and the aluminum-plastic film business is also projected to grow by over 30%, driven by solid-state battery applications [2][11]. Business Performance - In the photovoltaic sector, Foster's film production is clearing quickly, with a stable market share. The overseas market, particularly in Thailand and Vietnam, accounts for about 20% of sales. A market reversal is expected in the second half of 2026 [3]. - The electronic materials segment is experiencing explosive demand, especially in high-end electronic materials for servers, leading to significant sales growth [3]. - The aluminum-plastic film business is rapidly developing, with current production capacity at 30 million square meters, expanding to 50 million square meters, and expected to achieve profitability next year [4][23]. Future Projections - The company anticipates a steady increase in shipments in the photovoltaic new materials sector in 2026, with uncertainties in the domestic market but high expectations for overseas markets. The growth in electronic materials and aluminum-plastic films is expected to contribute significantly to overall business growth [11]. - The solid-state battery market is projected to drive demand for aluminum-plastic films due to their lightweight and extensibility advantages [3][11]. Production and Expansion Plans - Foster's overseas production capacity is nearly fully utilized, with production and sales doubling, primarily serving clients in India and the Middle East. The company is evaluating plans for a factory in the U.S. to adapt to policy changes [16]. - A domestic project worth 250 million yuan has been delayed until the end of next year, with strategic adjustments based on market demand [16]. Product Development and Innovations - Foster is advancing in the sensitive area of photonic films for space applications, showcasing the company's ability to innovate by combining materials from different fields [9]. - The company is also focusing on high-end electronic materials, with a significant push into advanced substrate applications, particularly in the automotive and server sectors [18]. Financial Health and Risk Management - The company maintains a strong financial position with a low risk of impairment due to increasing overseas sales, which are less likely to default [24]. - The average price of dry films is around 5 yuan, with high-end products reaching up to 30 yuan, and the overall gross margin is currently at 24% [20]. Conclusion - Foster is well-positioned for growth in the photovoltaic, electronic materials, and aluminum-plastic film sectors, with a strong financial foundation and strategic plans for expansion and innovation. The company is expected to continue delivering value to investors while navigating market challenges and opportunities.

Core Insights - The 2025 China International Import Expo (CIIE) will feature 320 Japanese companies showcasing products across various sectors, indicating the event's significance for Japanese firms to present strategies and seek partnerships in the Chinese market [3][18] - Japanese investment in China surged by 55.5% in the first nine months of 2025 compared to the previous year, highlighting the ongoing economic and technological complementarity between China and Japan [3][18] AI in Daily Life - Brother Industries showcased AI sewing machines that can automatically convert user-uploaded designs into embroidery data, demonstrating the integration of AI into everyday household products [6] - Panasonic presented smart appliances, including a washing machine with AI fabric recognition and a cooking set that generates nutritional recipes based on ingredient recognition [8] - Hitachi introduced automated laboratory solutions that enhance efficiency and accuracy in medical testing, as well as a chronic disease risk prediction model that aids in early intervention [10][11] AI in Urban Development - Sumitomo Electric displayed advanced communication products, including high-density optical cables and fiber splicing machines, aimed at improving data transmission efficiency in modern communication networks [11][12] - Hitachi's smart railway operation system integrates real-time data for enhanced operational insights, showcasing advancements in urban transportation management [14] AI in Industrial Manufacturing - Mitsubishi Electric presented an AI quality inspection line that utilizes AI vision systems for precise defect detection in manufacturing processes, emphasizing the evolution of robotics in industrial applications [15][17] - Asahi Kasei introduced a non-contact radar module that protects privacy while monitoring health metrics, indicating a trend towards integrating AI in various consumer and industrial applications [17] Japanese Investment Trends - Japanese investments in China are primarily focused on the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta regions, with significant allocations in the new energy vehicle supply chain (41%), smart manufacturing (28%), and healthcare (19%) [18] - The participation of Japanese companies in the CIIE reflects a strategic move to align with China's industrial upgrade needs while expanding their market presence [18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][4][6] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance showed significant improvement on a quarter-over-quarter basis, benefiting from the domestic PCB (Printed Circuit Board) localization trend [4][9] - The company is positioned as a leading domestic photoresist dry film manufacturer, expected to experience new growth alongside the PCB localization [4][9] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of RMB 11.78 billion, a decrease of 22.32% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 687.60 million, down 45.34% year-on-year [9][10] - The company’s Q3 net profit was RMB 1.92 billion, a decrease of 41.79% year-on-year but a significant increase of 102.74% quarter-over-quarter [9] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 have been updated to RMB 0.39, 0.74, and 0.99 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 39.8, 21.2, and 15.8 [6][8] Revenue and Profitability Forecast - The company’s main revenue is projected to be RMB 18.62 billion in 2025, with a growth rate of -2.7% [8] - The EBITDA for 2025 is estimated at RMB 1.14 billion, with a significant increase expected in subsequent years [8] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 8.89%, a decrease of 2.47 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, while the net profit margin improved by 2.76 percentage points to 4.80% [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 11.788 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.32%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 688 million yuan, down 45.34% year-on-year [1]. - The price of EVA particles, a key raw material, has increased by approximately 16% since early August 2025, which is expected to improve the profitability of the company's film business in the fourth quarter of 2025 [2]. - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas production capacity for photovoltaic films to meet the high demand in emerging markets, aiming to stabilize its global market share [3]. - The electronic materials segment is experiencing rapid growth due to the recovery in consumer electronics and the acceleration of AI applications, positioning the company for a new growth cycle [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 16.682 billion yuan, 19.128 billion yuan, and 22.002 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of -12.9%, 14.7%, and 15.0% [4][5]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.001 billion yuan in 2025, 1.624 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.260 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of -23.5%, 62.3%, and 39.2% respectively [4][5]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 41X, 25X, and 18X, respectively [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - Foster is a leading global enterprise in photovoltaic packaging materials, primarily engaged in the research, production, and sales of solar cell encapsulation films and other related products, showcasing differentiated advantages in technology and scale [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, Foster achieved a revenue of 11.788 billion yuan, ranking 3rd in the industry, surpassing the industry average of 4.392 billion yuan and the median of 2.26 billion yuan [2] - The main business composition includes photovoltaic encapsulation films at 7.215 billion yuan, accounting for 90.65% of total revenue, and photosensitive dry films at 325 million yuan, accounting for 4.08% [2] - The net profit for the same period was 668 million yuan, ranking 1st in the industry, exceeding the industry average of 51.964 million yuan and the median of 20.0225 million yuan [2] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, Foster's debt-to-asset ratio was 19.74%, down from 23.52% year-on-year and significantly lower than the industry average of 49.56%, indicating strong solvency [3] - The gross profit margin for the same period was 11.09%, lower than the previous year's 15.56% but higher than the industry average of 6.43% [3] Group 3: Executive Compensation - Chairman Lin Jianhua's salary for 2024 is 753,600 yuan, a decrease of 145,800 yuan from 2023 [4] - General Manager Zhou Guangda's salary for 2024 is 785,700 yuan, down 66,200 yuan from 2023 [4] Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 9.54% to 64,900 [5] - The average number of circulating A-shares held per shareholder increased by 10.55% to 40,200 [5] - Notable changes among the top ten circulating shareholders include a decrease in holdings by Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Guangfa High-end Manufacturing Stock A [5] Group 5: Market Outlook - According to Guojin Securities, Foster's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 11.788 billion yuan, with a net profit of 688 million yuan, highlighting competitive improvements in the photovoltaic encapsulation film market [5] - Pacific Securities noted that the overseas layout is showing results, with the second phase of the Thailand project contributing to increased overseas revenue [6] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 1.09 billion, 1.82 billion, and 2.65 billion yuan respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a significant drop in Q3 performance compared to the previous year and quarter [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 11.788 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 688 million, down 45% year-on-year [1] - In Q3, the company recorded revenue of 3.929 billion, a year-on-year decline of 13% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 12%, with a net profit of 192 million, down 42% year-on-year but up 103% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Operational Analysis - Q3 shipments slightly decreased, with fluctuations in raw material and film product prices impacting profitability; the company’s Q3 sales gross margin was 8.89%, down 2.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company’s market share in film products remained stable despite a 5% quarter-on-quarter decline in film shipments, totaling 722 million square meters in Q3 [2] - The competitive landscape in the photovoltaic film sector is improving, with the company maintaining profitability while other second and third-tier companies are reducing capacity or exiting the market [2] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is leading in overseas capacity expansion, with the second phase of its Thailand facility producing 250 million square meters of film, expected to enhance overseas shipments and solidify profitability [3] - The company is advancing technology research and development for new products, including XBC, HJT, thin-film batteries, and perovskite modules, aiming to improve profitability through differentiated products [3] - The company’s photoresist film business is entering a performance release phase, with Q3 sales reaching 50 million square meters, indicating a continuous growth trend [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company adjusted its net profit forecast for 2025-2027 to 1.09 billion, 1.82 billion, and 2.65 billion, respectively, highlighting significant profitability advantages in film products and an improving competitive landscape [4] - The photovoltaic industry is expected to recover, driven by reduced internal competition, while the photoresist film and other electronic materials businesses are entering a high-growth phase [4]

Core Viewpoint - Foster's stock price has shown a mixed performance in recent trading sessions, with a year-to-date increase of 10.52% and a recent decline in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On October 15, Foster's stock rose by 2.03%, reaching a price of 16.07 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.82 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.44%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 419.22 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, Foster's stock has increased by 10.52%, with a 2.36% rise over the last five trading days, a slight decline of 0.19% over the last 20 days, and a significant increase of 21.01% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Foster reported a revenue of 7.959 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 26.06%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 496 million CNY, down 46.60% compared to the previous year [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Foster has distributed a total of 3.669 billion CNY in dividends, with 1.361 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, Foster had 71,700 shareholders, a decrease of 0.28% from the previous period, with an average of 36,370 circulating shares per shareholder, which increased by 0.28% [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 95.8434 million shares, an increase of 21.0567 million shares from the previous period [3].

Core Viewpoint - Hunan Chuyuan New Materials Co., Ltd. has entered a critical phase in its IPO process, backed by the substantial assets of Hunan Wujian Group, which has diversified into various sectors over the years [1][2]. Company Background - Hunan Wujian Group, founded in 1979 by five brothers, has grown from a small aluminum product factory to a private giant with total assets exceeding 70 billion [1]. - Chuyuan New Materials was established in 2017 to expand the photopolymer film business, initially as a subsidiary of Wujian Group [2]. Business Development - The company began production in 2020 and acquired key customer resources through the purchase of a distributor in 2021 [2]. - In 2023, the company completed its restructuring and officially initiated its IPO preparations [2]. Leadership Transition - The leadership transition within the company reflects a typical family business succession, with key family members actively involved in operations and decision-making [2][3]. - The actual controller, Xiao Zhiyi, has played a pivotal role in the company's development and is a representative of the second generation of the Xiao family [3]. Market Position - Under Xiao Zhiyi's leadership, Chuyuan New Materials has established a significant market presence, with a projected global market share of 13.2% by 2024, ranking first among domestic companies and third globally [3]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 910 million to 1.057 billion from 2022 to 2024, indicating a growth rate above the industry average [3]. Technology and R&D Concerns - There are concerns regarding the actual contributions of core technical personnel, with discrepancies noted between their claimed roles and their patent contributions [4][5]. - The sudden increase in patent applications during the IPO preparation period raises questions about the authenticity of the company's long-term technological accumulation [6]. Financial Risks - The company's accounts receivable have significantly increased, from 363 million to 539 million, with a rising proportion of revenue attributed to credit sales, indicating potential cash flow issues [8][9]. - The collection period for major clients has extended, raising concerns about the company's credit policies and financial health [9]. Strategic Partnerships - In 2021, the company established a partnership with Hunan University, which may indicate reliance on external academic resources for technological development [10].