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航空自律条约发布,长江干线港口再传捷报 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-08-20 01:33
Industry Overview - The transportation sector experienced an overall decline of -0.47% from August 11 to August 16, ranking 25th among 31 SW primary industries, while the CSI 300 index rose by +2.37% during the same period [2] Subsector Performance - The performance of various subsectors within transportation during the week was as follows: - Warehousing and logistics: +1.89% - Airport: +1.13% - Public transport: +0.82% - Port: -0.09% - Express delivery: -2.22% - Road freight: -0.86% - Cross-border logistics: -1.01% - Railway: -1.85% - Shipping: -0.79% - Highway: -0.62% [2][1] Airline Sector Insights - By June 2025, major listed airlines in China showed recovery rates in domestic Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) compared to June 2019 as follows: - Air China: 150.62% - China Southern Airlines: 119.55% - China Eastern Airlines: 118.06% - Hainan Airlines: 91.71% - Spring Airlines: 166.49% - International and regional ASK recovery rates were: - Air China: 93.36% - China Southern Airlines: 92.68% - China Eastern Airlines: 110.76% - Hainan Airlines: 69.95% - Spring Airlines: 254.76% [2][3] Oil and Currency Trends - As of August 15, 2025, Brent crude oil was priced at $65.85 per barrel, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of -1.11% and a year-on-year decrease of -18.74% [3] - The exchange rate for the Chinese Yuan against the US Dollar was 7.1371, showing a slight appreciation of 0.02% week-on-week and 0.04% year-on-year [3] Shipping and Port Metrics - The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) was reported at 1460 points, down -1.98% week-on-week and down -55.50% year-on-year [4] - The China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) stood at 1193 points, with a week-on-week decrease of -0.62% and a year-on-year decrease of -42.45% [4] Freight and Logistics Performance - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was at 2044 points, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of -0.34% but a year-on-year increase of +20.80% [5] - In June 2025, railway passenger volume reached 373 million, up +3.61% year-on-year, while road passenger volume was 948 million, down -3.72% year-on-year [5] Express Delivery Sector - In July 2025, the express delivery industry generated revenue of 120.64 billion Yuan, an increase of +8.90% year-on-year, with a total business volume of 16.4 billion pieces, up +15.10% year-on-year [5] Investment Recommendations - The airline sector is expected to benefit from the acceleration of international flight schedules and domestic demand recovery, with potential for increased profitability for airlines such as Air China, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines [6] - The airport sector is anticipated to see improvements in passenger flow and commercial revenue driven by macroeconomic recovery and policy support [6] - The cross-border logistics sector is positioned to benefit from the growth of cross-border e-commerce, with companies like Huamao Logistics recommended for investment [7] - The express delivery sector remains promising due to the growth of e-commerce and the potential for market share gains among leading companies [8]