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全球矿业产业链供应链重构
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《全球矿业发展报告二○二五》显示全球矿业产业链供应链重构加深
Core Insights - The global mining industry is experiencing a deep restructuring of its supply chain, with increasing structural contradictions in supply and demand, while technological innovation, global governance, and sustainable development are injecting new momentum into high-quality mining development [1][2] Exploration and Development - Global exploration investment, drilling activities, and large mining projects are continuously decreasing, with exploration investment in major solid minerals projected at $12.48 billion in 2024, a year-on-year decline of 3.3%. The total number of drilling projects and drill holes decreased by 19.9% and 15.3% respectively [1] Supply and Demand - Global production and consumption of energy resources continue to grow, exacerbating supply-demand structural contradictions. The supply-demand growth rate for energy minerals is slowing, leading to a tight balance overall. In major solid minerals, both supply and demand for steel have decreased, increasing the degree of oversupply; copper supply and demand continue to grow, with an expanding supply gap; aluminum supply and demand have both increased, reducing the degree of oversupply; zinc supply and demand have both decreased, shifting to a state of supply shortage. Strategic emerging minerals are experiencing rapid growth in supply and demand, generally showing oversupply [1] Market Prices - There is a significant divergence in international mineral prices. Overall, energy mineral prices have fluctuated, with coal prices dropping over 20% compared to 2023. Prices for major solid minerals have become more volatile, with iron ore prices falling over 30% within the year, while copper, aluminum, and zinc prices have seen slight increases. Prices for strategic emerging minerals are trending downward due to strong supply and weak demand [1] Strategic Minerals - Key minerals have become an important part of national security and resource strategies for various countries, intensifying the competitive and cooperative dynamics in the global critical mineral sector. With the advancement of global energy transition and a new round of technological revolution, AI technology for exploration big data, geophysical technology equipment, and a "space-air-ground" three-dimensional remote sensing mining technology system are gradually improving, accelerating the digital, intelligent, and green transformation of the global mining industry [2] International Cooperation - The report calls for countries to strengthen mutually beneficial cooperation in the critical mineral sector, jointly maintain the stability and smoothness of the industrial chain and supply chain, address global resource challenges, achieve sustainable development, and collaboratively build a mining community of shared destiny [2]