全球经济发展预期

Search documents
ATFX策略师:空头60美元关口久攻不破,WTI原油或迎来大逆转!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 09:57
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the oil price is influenced by the tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with a significant drop in WTI prices observed recently, indicating potential volatility in the market [2][3] - WTI prices fell to a low of $62.78 on August 8, but only dropped to $62.92 in the following seven trading days, suggesting that the bears are struggling to push prices below the $60 mark [2] - On the supply side, there is little support for rising oil prices, as Russia's oil production increased by 98,000 barrels per day in July, reaching 9.12 million barrels per day, exceeding OPEC's quota [2] Group 2 - The demand side is also facing challenges, as global economic conditions will determine oil demand, with the U.S. being the largest consumer [3] - The policies implemented during Trump's administration have negatively impacted oil demand, leading to a significant drop in oil prices from over $70 to around $50 [3] - With bearish factors on both supply and demand sides, the potential for a bullish rally in oil prices is limited, relying on the weakening of bearish positions [3] Group 3 - Technically, WTI prices are near a critical support level since June 11, indicating a possibility of a rebound [3] - The upcoming API data release is crucial; positive data could trigger a rebound, while negative data may lead to continued bearish trends [3]