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全球衍生品市场四大趋势
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对外经济贸易大学国际经贸学院研究员李正强:全球衍生品市场呈现四大趋势
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-03 02:12
Core Viewpoint - The seminar on "High-Quality Development of the Futures Industry by 2025" highlighted the need for the futures and derivatives market to effectively serve economic high-quality development, emphasizing the characteristics of a robust market system [1] Group 1: Current Trends - The global derivatives market is experiencing four major trends: the rise of the Asia-Pacific region, predominance of over-the-counter markets, financial recovery, and digital transformation [1] - The Asia-Pacific region has become the largest on-exchange derivatives trading market, accounting for over 60% of the global market [1] - Approximately 80% of global futures and options trading is now concentrated in the Asia-Pacific region, with financial derivatives making up nearly 90% of the on-exchange derivatives market [1] Group 2: Development Paths - Eight development paths for the futures market were proposed, including accelerating the construction of a multi-tiered derivatives market and supporting pilot projects for over-the-counter markets and new business models [2] - The product system should be improved by introducing new varieties such as clean energy, carbon emissions, foreign exchange futures, and commodity indices [2] - High-level opening up is essential to attract global traders and expand the international layout of exchanges [2] - Continuous optimization of the market environment is necessary, promoting models like "insurance + futures" [2] - Establishing dynamic management mechanisms for margin and position limits that align with market development is crucial [2] - Embracing artificial intelligence to enhance the standardization and visualization of risk management services is recommended [2] - Strengthening intermediary institutions to create a comprehensive service provider group that understands and can manage hedging is important [2] - A sound regulatory framework is needed to provide institutional support for market innovation and development [2] Group 3: Market Resilience - The unique development path of China's futures market has been characterized by a sequence of developments: first on-exchange then over-the-counter, first commodities then financials, first futures then options, and first domestic then international [2] - The market has successfully withstood multiple external shocks over 20 years, thanks to a robust regulatory system and a rich toolbox for risk prevention [2] - The construction of a world-class exchange and derivatives market is achievable, supported by China's vast agricultural production, processing, and trade scale, along with active participation from enterprises and institutional investors [2]