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平安证券晨会纪要-20250618
Ping An Securities· 2025-06-18 01:07
Group 1: Real Estate Industry - The real estate market is still in a correction phase, with a slight year-on-year decline in new and second-hand home transactions in May, indicating that supply and demand dynamics need improvement [3][8] - The State Council emphasized the need for multi-faceted approaches to stabilize expectations, activate demand, optimize supply, and mitigate risks, indicating ongoing policy support for the real estate market [3][9] - Investment opportunities are emerging as mainstream developers' valuations are at low levels, with a focus on companies with lighter historical burdens and optimized inventory structures, such as China Overseas Development and China Resources Land [3][10] Group 2: REITs Market - The existing performance compensation clauses for public REITs should fully compensate investors' expected returns, enhancing dividend stability [4][15] - The original rights holders typically hold 30%-50% of REITs shares, and when the distribution completion rate is between 50%-70%, the compensation clauses can fully cover investor returns [4][15] - The trend of implementing performance compensation clauses is increasing, with a focus on reducing management fees and enhancing the responsibilities of fund managers [4][13] Group 3: Pension Insurance System - The investment management of China's three-pillar pension insurance funds and social security funds is operating well, with a stable investment performance across the three pillars [5][17] - The basic pension insurance fund has achieved an average annual return of 5.00% through entrusted investments, significantly higher than the guaranteed rate of 2.88% [5][17] - The national social security fund has an impressive annualized return of 7.36%, with a strategy focused primarily on domestic markets [5][17] Group 4: Market Trends and Projections - The real estate market is expected to stabilize as high-quality properties gradually enter the market, which may lead to a restructured pricing system [10][11] - The land market continues to focus on destocking, with core cities maintaining high demand for quality land parcels [10][11] - The corporate land acquisition intensity has decreased, with a focus on projects that ensure high cash flow and return certainty [11][12]