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立华股份(300761):2025中报点评:出栏稳步增长,价格有所回落,上半年归母利润同比-74%
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-21 12:50
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4]. Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in output, but prices have declined, leading to a significant drop in net profit for the first half of 2025, which decreased by 74% year-on-year [1][9]. - Despite the low market prices for yellow feathered chickens, the company maintained a growth in output, with a 10.37% increase in chicken output year-on-year [2]. - The company has improved its cost structure, with the complete cost of chicken production dropping below 11 yuan/kg, although it still faces losses of approximately 0.50 yuan/kg per chicken [2]. - The pig farming segment has seen a substantial increase in output, with a 118.35% year-on-year growth in pig output, supported by the release of production capacity [3]. - The company is expected to maintain strong profitability in the pig farming sector due to cost improvements and capacity releases [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 8.353 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.02%, with Q2 revenue at 4.267 billion yuan, up 4.42% quarter-on-quarter [1][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 was 149 million yuan, down 74.10% year-on-year, with Q2 showing a net loss of 57 million yuan [1][9]. - The sales gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 9.95%, a decrease of 4.15 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 1.65%, down 5.69 percentage points year-on-year [12]. Profit Forecast and Financial Indicators - The company forecasts net profits of 1.050 billion yuan, 1.518 billion yuan, and 1.622 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.27 yuan, 1.83 yuan, and 1.96 yuan [4][19]. - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 16, 11, and 10 respectively [4][19]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 16.201 billion yuan, with a closing price of 19.35 yuan [6].