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招商公路(001965):Q3业绩稳健增长,归母净利润+3.91%
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-27 08:55
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a steady growth in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.91% [2] - The company is recognized as a leading platform in highway operations, with positive growth prospects in both its core highway asset business and its transportation industry chain [5] - The company is expected to maintain a high dividend payout ratio, projected to exceed 53% in 2024, indicating strong shareholder returns [5] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 8.703 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.12% year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.012 billion yuan, down 3.56% year-on-year [2] - In Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 3.040 billion yuan, a decline of 1.70% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 3.91% to 1.509 billion yuan [2] - The gross profit margin in Q3 2025 decreased by 5.48 percentage points to 34.55%, primarily due to a 7.28% increase in operating costs [3] Cost and Expense Analysis - Operating costs in Q3 2025 were 1.990 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.28% [3] - Period expenses decreased by 8.81% year-on-year to approximately 575 million yuan, with financial expenses down by 0.80 billion yuan to 352 million yuan [4] - Investment income remained stable at approximately 1.226 billion yuan in Q3 2025, up 2.01% year-on-year [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.534 billion yuan, 5.912 billion yuan, and 6.216 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 3.97%, 6.84%, and 5.14% respectively [6] - The corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for these years are expected to be 12.7x, 11.9x, and 11.3x [6]