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北方稀土的经典造型以及恐高症
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-19 04:08
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a classic case of stock movement, highlighting the importance of technical analysis and market psychology in investment decisions [1]. Group 1: Technical Analysis - The stock showed a high-value breakout when it first surpassed its yearly high, followed by a volume contraction during the pullback, indicating a potential buying opportunity [3]. - A clear 2T structure was identified during the price action, with the third T being less noticeable but evident on a 60-minute chart, demonstrating a classic VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) formation [3]. - The article emphasizes a pivotal point signal at the end of the 2T, which serves as an excellent entry point according to Mark's theory, suggesting that investors should consider entering at this juncture [3]. Group 2: Market Psychology - Despite clear technical indicators, many investors hesitate to enter at the pivotal point due to fear of heights and a lack of confidence, which is rooted in basic psychological instincts [3]. - The article points out that even with strong fundamentals and favorable industry logic, investors often struggle with their beliefs and fears, leading to missed opportunities [3]. - It critiques the tendency of investors to focus on low-quality stocks while ignoring high-potential opportunities, highlighting the importance of having faith in one's analysis and the underlying fundamentals of a stock [3].
量价独孤三式
猛兽派选股· 2025-06-29 06:52
裸K分析可能是最早最原始的技术分析方法,有个正式的名称叫:价格行为分析。这一派的理论基石是:价格包含了一切信息。因此,基于这一理 论,纯粹的价格行为分析是不看成交量的,以价格变化为唯一指标。 现在比较被接受的价格行为分析一般要结合成交量,即大家常说的量价分析,除了量价,其它什么都不看。 欧马体系中,量价分析是一个重要组成部分,对图形应该说是相当重视的,但并不把量价作为唯二要素。我总结CANSLIM和SEPA两个体系,共同 的进化是在量价的基础上增加了:势和锚两个要素,也即更加注重对市场局面、产业内涵的审视和联系。 这种要素叠加,有利于缩小选股范围,而缩小范围是符合市场幂律原理的。通俗一点讲,就是要定位精准,要有特点和亮点,要做利基市场,只取 一瓢饮。 价格行为分析好比风清扬的独孤九剑,只讲招式无需其它,只求一个快字,所谓天下武功唯快不破。但正因为此,对招式就必须更加讲究,对应到 股票的走势结构,就是形态要求极致完美,但凡拖泥带水之形皆不可用,如此才能极致收敛选股范围,到达幂律之巅。 在实战中,我收集和运用过一些极致形态,比欧奈尔和马克米讷维尼书中讲的更加严格。窃以为如果只凭量价分析的话,只有类这样的形态才可以 ...