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年度大豆产量预估上调
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-05-15 05:42
Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Viewpoints - Argentina's Rosario Grain Exchange raised the forecast for the country's 2024/25 soybean production to 4,850 tons, up from the previous 4,550 tons, and predicted the 2025/26 wheat production to be 2,100 tons, higher than the 2,010 tons in 2024/25 [1] - If China and the US fail to resolve trade disputes, US soybean exports are expected to decrease by 20%, and the price paid to farmers will decline [1] - Indonesia increased the special export tax on crude palm oil from 7.5% to 10% of the reference price of crude palm oil, and adjusted the special export tax on refined palm oil products to 4.75%-9.5% [1] - India's palm oil imports in a certain month decreased by 24.29% month-on-month, while soybean oil imports increased by 1.6% and sunflower oil imports decreased by 5.5% [1] Summary by Relevant Catalog Annual Production Forecast - Argentina's 2024/25 soybean production forecast was raised to 4,850 tons, and the 2025/26 wheat production forecast is 2,100 tons [1] US Soybean Exports - If trade disputes remain unresolved, US soybean exports may drop from the initial forecast of 1.865 billion bushels to 1.5 billion bushels, and the average price paid to farmers is expected to fall to $9.10 per bushel in 2025/26 [1] Indonesia's Palm Oil Policy - Indonesia increased the special export tax on crude palm oil and adjusted that on refined palm oil products, aiming to raise funds for biodiesel blending and other projects [1] India's Oilseeds Imports - India's palm oil imports decreased by 24.29% month-on-month, soybean oil imports increased by 1.6%, and sunflower oil imports decreased by 5.5% [1] Spot Prices - From May 8 to May 14, 2025, the spot prices of various oilseeds and oils in different regions showed fluctuations [2]