截至12月23日，阿根廷全国玉米总播种进度已完成81%，略落后于去年同期的82%。 美国玉米主产州未来6-10日50%地区有较高的把握认为气温将低于正常水平，50%地区有较高的把握认 为降水量将接近正常水平。 12月25日，星期四，晚籼稻期货主力合约一动不动，截止发稿，晚籼稻主力报2535.00元/吨。 市场资讯： 一机构发布的大宗商品研究报告显示，阿根廷2025/26年度玉米产量预计为5410万吨，较前一次预估下 调1%，预估区间介于4680-5990万吨，因潘帕斯草原地区存在干旱风险。 ...

| 油脂油料早报 | | | --- | --- | | 研究中心农产品团队 2025/12/23 | | | 隔 夜 市 场 信 息 ： | | | 12月18日止当周美国大豆出口检验量为870,199吨，符合预期 | | | USDA周度出口检验报告显示，截至2025年12月18日当周，美国大豆出口检验量为870,199吨，此前市场预估为 | | | 800,000-1,000,000吨，前一周修正后为810,110吨，初值为795,661吨。 | | | 当周，对中国大陆的大豆出口检验量为386，010吨，占出口检验总量的44.36%。 | | | 截至2024年12月19日当周，美国大豆出口检验量为1,775,083吨。 | | | 本作物年度迄今，美国大豆出口检验量累计为14,586,856吨，上一年度同期为27,027,931吨。 | | | 民间出口商报告向中国出口销售396，000吨大豆 | | | 民间出口商报告向中国出口销售396,000吨大豆，其中330,000吨在2025/2026市场年度付运，66,000吨在2026/2027 | | | 市场年度付运。 | | | 12月4日止当周 ...

豆油：美豆驱动不足，豆油震荡为主 | | | 【基本面跟踪】 油脂基本面数据 | | 棕榈油主力 | 单 位 元/吨 | 收盘价 (日盘） 8,656 | 涨跌幅 1.33% | 收盘价 （夜盘） 8,546 | 涨跌幅 -1.27% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 豆油主力 | 元/吨 | 8,268 | 0.56% | 8,000 | -3.24% | | | 菜油主力 | 元/吨 | 9,599 | 1.65% | 9,390 | -2.18% | | 期 货 | 马棕主力 | 林吉特/吨 | 4,064 | 0.07% | 4,040 | -0.57% | | | CBOT豆油主力 | 美分/磅 | 51.32 | -0.56% | | | | | | 单 位 | 昨日成交 | 成交变动 | 昨日持仓 | 持仓变动 | | | 棕榈油主力 | 手 | 180,995 | -220676 | 143,530 | -21,841 | | | 豆油主力 | 手 | 101,511 | -28,218 | 203,342 | -10,246 ...

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Group 1: Overnight Market Information - As of the week ending November 27, 2025, the U.S. soybean export inspection volume was 920,194 tons, at the lower end of the estimated range, compared to 2,110,449 tons in the same period in 2024. The cumulative export inspection volume this crop year was 11,867,705 tons, compared to 21,817,878 tons in the same period last year [1]. - As of the week ending October 23, U.S. current - market - year soybean export sales net increased by 1.4498 million tons, in line with expectations, with exports loaded at 1.3882 million tons. The current - market - year new sales were 1.544 million tons, and next - market - year new sales were 0 tons [1]. - As of the week ending October 23, U.S. current - market - year soybean meal export sales net increased by 640,000 tons, higher than expected, with exports loaded at 319,700 tons. The current - market - year new sales were 706,800 tons, and next - market - year new sales were 0 tons [1]. Group 2: Brazil's Soybean Production Forecasts - PatriaAgronegocios slightly raised Brazil's 2025/26 soybean production forecast to 171.89 million tons, a 0.2% increase from the mid - November estimate and a 1.4% expansion from 2024/25. The sown area is expected to reach 48.58 million hectares, a 0.9% increase from the previous estimate [1]. - StoneX lowered Brazil's 2025/26 soybean production forecast to 177.2 million tons, a 0.9% decrease from its November estimate, due to reduced output potential in major producing states [1]. - As of last Thursday, Brazil's 2025/26 soybean sowing area reached 89% of the expected area, behind last year's 91%. The core south - central region completed 99% of the first - season sowing, higher than 97% last year [1]. Group 3: Malaysia's Palm Oil Data - In November 2025, Malaysia's palm oil production decreased by 0.19% month - on - month, with fresh fruit bunch yield down 2.09% and oil extraction rate up 0.36% [1]. - Malaysia's palm oil product exports in November 2025 were 1,263,298 tons, a 15.9% decrease from October [1]. Group 4: Spot Prices - Spot prices of various products such as soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from November 25 to December 1, 2025 are provided [5].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the given content Summary by Related Information Soybean Production - Brazil's 2025/26 soybean production is expected to reach a record 178 million tons according to ITAU BBA [1] - Brazil's Paraná state's 2025/26 soybean production is estimated at 2.196 million tons, stable compared to October's forecast and a 4% increase from the previous year according to Deral [1] Palm Oil Export - Malaysia's palm oil product exports from November 1 - 25, 2025, were 583,574 tons, a 40.77% decrease from the same period last month according to SGS [1] - Indonesia exported 2.2 million tons of palm oil in September 2025, less than 2.26 million tons in the same period last year and 3.48 million tons in August this year according to GAPKI [1] Import Profit and Spot Price - The report presents import profit data for soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil from 2016 - 2025 [1] - Spot prices for palm oil in Guangzhou, soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from November 21 - 27, 2025, are provided [1] Basis and Price Spread - The report shows basis data for soybean meal, rapeseed meal, soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil at different contract months and regions from 2020/2021 - 2025/2026 [1][3] - Price spread data for various oilseeds and oils, including seasonal spreads and regional spreads, from 2020/2021 - 2025/2026 are presented [3]

油脂油料早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/11/19 隔 夜 市 场 信 息 ： USDA：截至11月16日当周美国大豆收割率为95%，落后于去年同期 美国农业部（USDA）在每周作物生长报告中公布称，截至2025年11月16日当周，美国大豆收割率为95%，去年同期 为98%，五年均值为96%。 Abiove：巴西2025/26年度大豆产量料为创纪录的1.777亿吨 Abiove周二在一份报告中称，预计巴西2025/26年度大豆产量料为创纪录的1.777亿吨，而之前的预估为1.785亿 吨，高于上一年度的1.721亿吨。 该报告预计巴西2025/26年度大豆压榨量为6,050万吨，与之前预估持平，高于上一年度的5,850万吨。 该报告称，预计2026年巴西大豆出口量将达1.11亿吨，与之前的预估相同，高于2025年的1.09亿吨。 巴西2026年豆油产量将达到创纪录的1,215万吨，与之前的预估相同，2025年为约1,170万吨。 预计巴西2026年豆油进口量将达到史无前例的12.5万吨，较2025年大幅增长25%。 预计巴西2026年豆油出口量将达到前所未有的120万吨，而2025年为100万吨。 预计巴 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - Conab anticipates Brazil's 2025/26 soybean production to rise by 3.6% to 177.67 million tons, with the planting area expanding by 3.7% to 49.08 million hectares; corn production is expected to be 138.28 million tons, and the planting area is estimated at 22,630 tons [1]. - Conab predicts Brazil's 2025/26 soybean exports to reach a record 112.12 million tons, mainly driven by exports to China; corn exports are expected to be 4.65 million tons [1]. - The USDA reports that for the week ending September 11, US 2025/26 market - year soybean export sales net increased by 92.30 million tons, meeting expectations; exports loaded were 83.71 million tons, up 31% from the previous week and 70% from the four - week average [1]. - China's customs data shows that in August, palm oil imports were 340,000 tons (up 16.5% year - on - year), soybean oil imports were 100,000 tons (up 113.9% year - on - year), and rapeseed and mustard oil imports were 140,000 tons (up 18.7% year - on - year) [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Market Information - Conab's first forecast for the 2025/2026 crop year shows an increase in Brazil's soybean production and planting area, and a slight decrease in corn production; soybean and corn exports are expected to rise [1]. - The USDA's export sales report indicates the situation of US soybean export sales and shipments for the week ending September 11 [1]. - China's customs data reveals the import volume and year - on - year changes of palm oil, soybean oil, and rapeseed and mustard oil in August and from January to August [1]. Spot Prices - The spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from September 12 to September 18, 2025, are presented, showing price fluctuations [2]. Protein Meal Basis and Oil Basis - Not provided with specific content Oilseed and Oil Futures Price Spreads - Not provided with specific content

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The report presents overnight market information on the trading of US soybeans, soybean meal, and palm oil, as well as the estimated data of US soybean crushing and the production forecast of Brazilian soybeans [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Market Information of US Soybeans and Soybean Meal - From September 1 - 4, US 2025/2026 soybean export sales net increased by 541,100 tons, with a total of 767,000 tons carried over from the 2024/2025 sales. The export shipment as of August 31 was 406,600 tons, and the cumulative export shipment reached 50.1059 million tons, a 13% increase from the previous year. The new sales of US soybeans in the current market year were 1.4957 million tons [1]. - From September 1 - 4, US current - market - year soybean meal export sales net increased by 33,400 tons, a 16% increase from the average of the previous four weeks. The next - market - year soybean meal export sales net increased by 324,100 tons. The export shipment of soybean meal was 250,100 tons, a 20% decrease from the previous week and a 12% decrease from the average of the previous four weeks. The new sales of current - market - year soybean meal were 56,100 tons, and the next - market - year new sales were 325,400 tons [1]. Estimated Data of US Soybean Crushing - Before the release of the NOPA monthly report, analysts estimated that the US soybean crushing volume in August would be 182.857 million bushels, a 6.6% decrease from July but a 15.7% increase from August 2024. The estimated daily crushing volume in August was 5.899 million bushels, the slowest since August last year. The estimated soybean oil inventory held by NOPA members as of August 31 was 1298 million pounds, a 5.8% decrease from the end of July [1]. Production Forecast of Brazilian Soybeans - Conab raised the forecast of Brazil's 2024/2025 soybean production to a record 171.47 million tons, an increase of 1.82 million tons from the August forecast. The export forecast for 2024/2025 was raised by 400,000 tons to 106.65 million tons. Brazilian farmers have started sowing the 2025/2026 soybeans, and the new - year production is expected to exceed 180 million tons [1]. Palm Oil Production in Malaysia - According to SPPOMA, from September 1 - 10, 2025, Malaysia's palm oil production decreased by 3.17% month - on - month, with a 2.70% decrease in fresh fruit bunch yield and a 0.09% decrease in oil extraction rate [1]. Spot Prices - The spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from September 5 - 11, 2025, are provided, showing price fluctuations during this period [2].

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints - The US soybean meal export sales and shipments showed mixed performance in the week ending August 21, 2025, with current - year sales increasing and shipments decreasing [1]. - The estimated soybean crushing volume in the US in July 2025 is expected to reach a record high for the same period, driven by increased demand for vegetable oil from bio - fuel producers and higher profits [1]. - The soybean planting area in Brazil's Paraná state is expected to expand by 1% in the 2025/26 season, and the yield may increase by 4% [1]. - Canada's rapeseed production is expected to increase by 3.6% in 2025 due to a 5.7% increase in yield, offsetting the 2.0% reduction in the harvesting area [1]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Market Information - US soybean meal export sales: In the week ending August 21, 2025, current - year export sales net increased by 4.73 million tons (up 3% from the previous week and down 34% from the four - week average), and next - year sales net increased by 21.48 million tons. Market expectations were 2.5 - 15 million tons for current - year and 10 - 30 million tons for next - year sales. Export shipments were 19.81 million tons, down 25% from the previous week and 35% from the four - week average [1]. - US soybean crushing volume in July 2025: Expected to be 207.2 million bushels (6.218 million short tons), up 5.1% from June and 7.2% from July 2024, a record high for the same period. The estimated range is 204.8 - 212.0 million bushels, with a median of 207.1 million bushels. The increase is due to increased demand from bio - fuel producers and higher profits [1]. - US soybean oil inventory as of July 31, 2025: Expected to be 1.903 billion pounds, up 0.5% from the end of June and down 5.2% from July 2024. The estimated range is 1.875 - 1.960 billion pounds, with a median of 1.9 billion pounds [1]. - Brazil's Paraná state: The 2025/26 soybean planting area is expected to be about 5.8 million hectares, up 1% from the previous year, and the yield may reach about 22 million tons, up 4% [1]. - Canada's rapeseed: The 2025 production is expected to increase by 3.6% to 19.9 million tons, with a 5.7% increase in yield to 41.0 bushels per acre, offsetting a 2.0% reduction in the harvesting area to 21.4 million acres [1]. Spot Prices | Date | Soybean Meal (Jiangsu) | Rapeseed Meal (Guangdong) | Soybean Oil (Jiangsu) | Palm Oil (Guangzhou) | Rapeseed Oil (Jiangsu) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/08/22 | 2980 | 2540 | 8620 | 9530 | 10010 | | 2025/08/25 | 3010 | 2570 | 8700 | 9520 | 10010 | | 2025/08/26 | 2990 | 2560 | 8670 | 9440 | 10030 | | 2025/08/27 | 2970 | 2550 | 8610 | 9440 | 9970 | | 2025/08/28 | 2960 | 2520 | 8580 | 9350 | 9880 | [2]