Workflow
创新+内需
icon
Search documents
全球石化市场有望“探底回升”,去年中国主要数据逆势增长
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 09:57
Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical industry in China is transitioning from a growth model based on "investment + export" to one focused on "innovation + domestic demand" to ensure sustainable development and address challenges in the global and domestic markets [4]. Group 1: Industry Growth and Performance - In 2025, the domestic petrochemical industry's industrial added value is expected to grow by 6.9%, surpassing the national industrial growth rate by 1 percentage point [1]. - The production of crude oil and natural gas, as well as crude oil processing and apparent consumption, reached historical highs, with crude oil and natural gas production increasing by 1.5% and 6.2%, respectively [2]. - Major chemical products' total output increased by 5.9%, and the export value of the petrochemical industry rose by 2.5% to $331.13 billion, with significant growth in exports of synthetic resins, fertilizers, synthetic rubber, and soda ash [2]. Group 2: Energy Transition and Market Dynamics - The trend towards energy transition is accelerating, with the penetration rate of new energy passenger vehicles exceeding 55%, and a shift from traditional fuels to cleaner energy sources [3]. - The domestic refined oil market is entering a slow decline phase, with both diesel and gasoline production and consumption expected to decrease for the first time in 2025 [3]. - Despite the challenges, the industry saw a 41.4% increase in revenue and a 36.2% increase in profit compared to the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan, indicating resilience in the face of price declines [3]. Group 3: Strategic Focus and Future Directions - The petrochemical industry must shift its growth model to focus on innovation and domestic demand, addressing issues such as low-end surplus and high-end shortages [4]. - Key tasks for the industry include stabilizing growth in oil and gas production, ensuring stable supply of agricultural products, and promoting high-end and green low-carbon growth [5]. - The industry aims to enhance original innovation and focus on key technologies in new materials, new energy, and biomanufacturing, while also adjusting regional and industrial structures to promote high-quality development [5]. Group 4: Immediate Priorities for 2026 - Ensuring a strong start in the first quarter of 2026 is critical, with a focus on stabilizing production and supply of fertilizers and pesticides to support agricultural productivity [6].