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益丰药房(603939):盈利稳健提升,开拓增量市场
Orient Securities· 2025-11-03 09:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 31.46 CNY, based on a 22x PE ratio for 2025 [3][5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 17.29 billion CNY in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.4%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.22 billion CNY, up 10.3% year-on-year [9]. - The retail pharmacy industry is experiencing a slowdown, with the sales scale of Chinese retail pharmacies reaching 470.1 billion CNY, growing by only 0.7% year-on-year [9]. - The company has shifted its operational strategy from expansion to efficiency improvement, resulting in a net decrease of 18 stores in the first three quarters of 2025, while maintaining a gross profit margin of 40.4% and a net profit margin of 7.6% [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 25.616 billion CNY, 28.114 billion CNY, and 30.907 billion CNY, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.5%, 9.7%, and 9.9% [4][10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1.737 billion CNY in 2025, 1.960 billion CNY in 2026, and 2.209 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 13.6%, 12.9%, and 12.7% [4][10]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve slightly from 40.5% in 2025 to 40.6% in 2027, while the net margin is projected to increase from 6.8% to 7.1% over the same period [4][10].