创新药研发景气周期

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药品产业链周度系列(八):风起创新链,中国创新药研发景气度渐趋改善-20250717
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-17 11:11
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Insights - The innovation chain in China's pharmaceutical industry is gradually improving, with a new cycle of investment in innovative drug research and development expected to begin [10][44] - The financing amount for China's biopharmaceutical sector is likely to rebound from its lowest point, supported by government policies and the establishment of regional investment funds [6][23] - The IPO channels for innovative drugs are widening, with significant fundraising for research and development from both Hong Kong and A-share markets [7][30][32] - The trend of increasing capital increases for pharmaceutical companies is evident, particularly among Hong Kong-listed firms [33] Summary by Sections Innovation Chain Improvement - The research indicates that the innovative drug R&D environment in China is becoming more favorable, with supportive policies leading to a rebound in investment [6][23] Financing and IPO Trends - The report highlights a resurgence in IPOs for innovative drug companies, with 62 companies listed in Hong Kong since 2019 and a significant increase in fundraising [26][30] - The reopening of the listing channel for unprofitable companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board is expected to provide additional funding sources for innovative drug firms [28][30] BD Payments as a Funding Source - The report notes that upfront payments from business development (BD) have become a major source of funding for R&D, with a significant amount of $1.73 billion in Q2 2025, surpassing the total biopharmaceutical financing amount [9][40] Increased Capital Increases - Pharmaceutical companies are increasingly raising capital through share issuances, particularly in the Hong Kong market, to strengthen their cash positions [33] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on companies with healthy cash flows and innovative capabilities, particularly in breakthrough therapies and technologies [49]