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昊华科技(600378):25Q2环比翻倍增长,中值创历史新高
Shanxi Securities· 2025-07-15 07:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company [1][8] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with estimates ranging from 5.9 to 6.5 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 59.3% to 75.5%, with a median of 6.2 billion yuan, indicating a 67.4% increase [4] - The second quarter of 2025 is projected to see a median net profit of 4.4 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of 86.5% and a year-on-year growth of 135.6% [4] - The company benefits from the high demand for refrigerants, particularly R134a, with a domestic production quota of 49,700 tons, accounting for 23.8% of the market, allowing it to capitalize on favorable market conditions [5] - The geopolitical uncertainties are expected to drive growth in specialty products, with a strong demand for items such as special coatings and materials due to increased military spending globally [5] - The electronic materials segment is anticipated to grow due to the expansion of the integrated circuit and panel industries, with the company competing in the high-frequency PCB substrate market [6] Financial Data Summary - The company’s projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 14.6 billion, 20.1 billion, and 24.6 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22, 16, and 13 times based on the closing price of 25.05 yuan on July 14 [8] - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 7.85 billion yuan in 2023 to 24.32 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19.9% [12][14] - The net profit is projected to increase from 900 million yuan in 2023 to 2.46 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 22.5% [12][14] - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 26% by 2027, with net margins improving from 11.5% in 2023 to 10.1% in 2027 [12][14]