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帮主郑重快评:券商行业“王炸”来了!一个新时代的开始?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 18:12
就在刚才,资本市场扔下一颗"重磅炸弹":中金公司公告,正在筹划通过换股方式,吸收合并东兴证券 和信达证券!这意味着什么?简单说,就是一家头部券商,要一次性"吞下"两家中型券商,打造一艘新 的"航母"。 这是国内券商行业首例"一换二"的头部吸收合并案,标志着行业 "供给侧改革"和集约化发展进入了一 个全新的、超预期的阶段。对于散户而言,这绝不仅仅是三家公司股票复牌那么简单的事件。 1. 规模效应:合并后,新公司的资本实力、业务网络和客户基础将大幅跃升,直接冲击现有券商排名格 局。 2. 示范效应:这很可能只是开始。在打造"一流投资银行"的政策导向下,未来行业内的兼并重组可能会 加速,"强者恒强" 的逻辑将空前强化。 3. 短期博弈:复牌后,相关公司股价必然会迎来激烈博弈,既有对合并后协同效应的憧憬,也有对整合 难度和短期波动的担忧。 券商行业开启"巨无霸"合并模式,你认为这对整个板块是重大利好,还是短期炒作?你看好合并后的长 期竞争力吗? 在评论区留下你的判断:A. 大利好,强者时代来临 B. 短期炒作,谨慎看待 C. 说不清,先围观 核心看点与深远影响: 【关键数据】 · "一换二":这是交易结构的关键。 · ...
利润增长不到3%,上市券商排名倒数的首创证券又要IPO
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 15:57
Core Viewpoint - The company, Shichuang Securities, is planning to go public in Hong Kong less than three years after its A-share listing, amidst a hot capital market, but faces challenges due to underwhelming performance and high valuations compared to industry averages [2][3][8]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Shichuang Securities reported a revenue of 1.284 billion yuan, a slight increase of 2.33% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 490 million yuan, up 2.8% [9]. - In contrast, the overall industry achieved a revenue of 251.036 billion yuan, growing by 23.47%, and a net profit of 112.28 billion yuan, increasing by 40.37%, indicating Shichuang's growth is significantly below industry averages [9]. Revenue Sources - The decline in asset management business revenue is a key factor in Shichuang's slow growth, with net income from asset management fees dropping to 215 million yuan, a nearly 60% decrease from the previous year [11]. - The company's asset management income is primarily derived from collective asset management, which accounted for 85% of its asset management fees [11]. Market Position and Valuation - Shichuang Securities has a market capitalization that once exceeded 80 billion yuan, with a peak stock price of over 30 yuan per share, but has since stabilized around 21.49 yuan per share, resulting in a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 4.23, significantly higher than the industry average of 1-2 [2][7][8]. - The company’s high valuation raises questions about its ability to attract favorable pricing in the Hong Kong market, especially given the lower valuations typically seen in that market compared to A-shares [8][22]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive environment for securities firms is intense, with larger firms capturing a significant market share in brokerage and investment banking services, making it difficult for smaller firms like Shichuang to compete [17]. - The company has been increasing its trading financial assets, with a balance rising from 8.178 billion yuan in 2020 to 22.75 billion yuan by mid-2025, as a strategy to enhance performance [17]. Future Outlook - There are expectations for consolidation within the securities industry, particularly among firms under Beijing state-owned assets, which could benefit Shichuang Securities given its current performance ranking among peers [20][22]. - The company’s future success in the Hong Kong IPO and its ability to improve operational strength may depend on potential mergers or restructuring in the competitive landscape [22].