Market Overview - The cryptocurrency market experienced significant losses early Monday, with major cryptocurrencies like bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) contributing to a liquidation of leveraged bets worth $1.5 billion [1] - The decline followed a dovish Fed interest-rate cut, which was anticipated to lower the dollar index and promote risk-taking in crypto markets [1] Bitcoin Analysis - Recent signals indicate a downward trend for bitcoin, with BTCUSD falling out of its upward channel established since early September and dropping below key support levels and the 50-day moving average [2] - This combination of negative indicators suggests further declines are likely unless there is a fundamental shift in market sentiment [2] Derivatives Positioning - The top 20 tokens, excluding BTC and HYPE, have seen double-digit declines in futures open interest as overleveraged bets are liquidated [3] - Shorts are increasing in Binance-listed USDT futures, with open interest rising to 276K BTC, while funding rates for several altcoins are notably negative, indicating a bearish sentiment [3] - BTC front-month futures on the CME are trading at a $100 premium to the spot price, and a potential shift to a discount could signal increased selling pressure [3] Market Sentiment and Altcoins - The sell-off was exacerbated by a $1.6 billion liquidation cascade, with $500 million occurring in ether trading pairs [3] - Funding rates for ether have turned negative, indicating a shift in sentiment after a significant rally from $2,400 in July to $4,831 in late August [3] - Major cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH, and SOL are at critical support levels, and a recovery could occur if traders are overly aggressive in short positions [3] - The average crypto token relative strength index (RSI) is at 28.4, suggesting heavily oversold conditions that may lead to a relief rally unless BTC and ETH break their support levels [3]

熊市仍可能占据主导地位 如果 XRP 从 3.15 美元的支撑位反弹并突破，Lingrid 预计XRP 价格将大幅上涨。此处的买入区域位于 3.1 美元至 3.2 美元的水平，突破 3.4 美元则确认买入触发。 一旦这一走势启动，预计20%的涨幅将推动价格跌向3.8美元。一旦突破3.4000，XRP的下一个主要阻力位 就在这里。"突破3.4000或将开启加速上行的通道。只要价格保持在关键支撑位上方，趋势趋势依然看 涨，"Lingrid表示。 XRP 的价格从主要趋势线反弹后展现出巨大的潜力，目前已成功将之前的阻力位转化为支撑位。鉴于加密 货币市场目前呈现上升趋势，XRP 价格很可能在新的一周延续当前的看涨趋势。如果出现这种情况，加密 货币分析师 Lingrid 认为，此举将推动该数字资产在下一轮大幅下跌之前重回历史高位。 XRP价格处于持续上涨的最佳位置 Lingri在分析中指出，XRP 价格目前在 3 美元上方的显著水平上保持支撑。此前，由于空头打压，XRP 价 格一度跌破该水平。然而，随着上升趋势线的移动，该加密货币得以突破该水平，这意味着 价格可能继续 上涨。 该分析师最初预测该股将跌回3.2美元以下， ...