Group 1 - China CRRC (01766) shares rose over 4%, reaching 6.07 HKD with a trading volume of 73.1552 million HKD [1] - On August 19, China State Railway Group announced the second batch of procurement for the 350 km/h Fuxing intelligent train sets for 2025, including 108 sets of 8-car ordinary type, 30 sets of 8-car cold-resistant type, and 72 sets of 16-car ordinary type, totaling 210 standard sets [1] - China Galaxy Securities noted that the second batch of train set tenders for 2025 exceeded expectations, with a total of 278 sets of 350 km/h train sets tendered this year, compared to 265.5 sets last year, indicating continued growth [1] Group 2 - The total number of advanced maintenance tenders for train sets this year reached 663.5 sets, slightly lower than the same period last year, which aligns with the expectation of maintaining high levels of new train set and advanced maintenance tenders for 2025 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [5]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025, with a projected growth of 60%-80%, amounting to between 6.722 billion and 7.562 billion yuan [2]. - The anticipated growth in net profit is primarily attributed to the concentrated release of high-level maintenance orders for train sets and the delayed delivery of train procurement orders from the end of 2024 [2]. - The recovery of fixed asset investment in railways is expected to drive demand for train sets, with a stable annual planning mileage for high-speed railways in China around 2,500 km [3]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts total revenue of 273.163 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.84% [5]. - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 13.808 billion yuan, representing an increase of 11.47% compared to the previous year [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to reach 0.48 yuan in 2025, with a dynamic price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.99 times [5]. Market Dynamics - In 2024, the National Railway Group publicly tendered for 245 sets of 350 km/h train sets, marking a 49% increase year-on-year [4]. - The demand for high-level maintenance of train sets is also expected to rise, with significant new orders signed in 2024 [4]. - The report highlights that the company, as the only domestic manufacturer of complete train sets, is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery in railway fixed asset investment [5].