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以岭药业(002603):2025年中报点评:利润端大幅改善,创新布局稳步推进
Huachuang Securities· 2025-09-30 03:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Yiling Pharmaceutical (002603) with a target price of 19.5 CNY [2][8]. Core Insights - The company's profit significantly improved in Q2 2025, with a 51.2% year-on-year increase in net profit, attributed to optimizing revenue structure and reducing low-margin businesses [2][8]. - The first half of 2025 saw total revenue of 4.04 billion CNY, a decrease of 12.3% year-on-year, while net profit reached 670 million CNY, up 26.0% year-on-year [2][8]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit Forecasts**: - Total revenue is projected to grow from 6.51 billion CNY in 2024 to 10.46 billion CNY by 2027, with a year-on-year growth rate of 32.8% in 2025 [4][9]. - Net profit is expected to recover from a loss of 725 million CNY in 2024 to 1.72 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 279.5% in 2025 [4][9]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - EPS is forecasted to improve from -0.43 CNY in 2024 to 1.03 CNY in 2027 [4][9]. - **Valuation Ratios**: - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from -37 in 2024 to 15 in 2027, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to decline from 2.6 to 1.8 over the same period [4][9]. Business Segment Analysis - **Respiratory Products**: - Revenue for respiratory products in the first half of 2025 was 920 million CNY, down 28.3% year-on-year, but with a gross margin of 70.9%, indicating cost optimization [8]. - **Cardiovascular Products**: - Revenue for cardiovascular products was 1.96 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, with a gross margin of 65.5%, showing significant improvement due to reduced raw material costs [8]. Innovation and R&D Progress - The company is advancing its pipeline of traditional Chinese medicine and chemical drugs, with several products entering clinical stages and expected to contribute to future revenue [8]. Investment Recommendation - The report suggests that the core product categories are stabilizing and recovering, with ongoing innovation in traditional Chinese medicine expected to drive long-term growth, thus maintaining the "Recommended" rating [8].