Core Insights - The International Energy Agency (IEA) warns that global demand for oil and gas will continue to rise over the next 25 years if current energy policies remain unchanged, raising alarms for global climate goals [1][2] - The IEA's new "Current Policies" scenario indicates that under the current trajectory, global oil demand will increase from approximately 100 million barrels per day in 2024 to 113 million barrels per day by 2050, primarily driven by aviation, trucking, and petrochemicals [2] Group 1: Policy Changes and Implications - IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol states that the focus on climate change in international energy policy is rapidly declining, coinciding with predictions that 2024 will be the hottest year on record [2] - The introduction of the "Current Policies" scenario reflects changes in countries' positions on climate goals, an increasing desire for secure and affordable energy, and a slowdown in electric vehicle growth [2][3] - The IEA's adjustment to its predictive model comes amid external pressures, particularly from U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright, who criticized the IEA's previous peak oil narrative [3] Group 2: Energy Demand Projections - The report emphasizes a significant increase in electricity demand, projected to grow by about 40% by 2035 under both the "Current Policies" and "Announced Commitments" scenarios [4] - Up to 80% of the growth in energy consumption is expected to come from regions well-suited for solar power generation, indicating substantial potential for renewable energy development [4]