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【环球财经】拉加经委会上调2025年拉美和加勒比地区经济增长预期至2.4%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-10-24 06:16
Core Insights - The United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) has raised its economic growth forecast for the region to 2.4% for 2025, maintaining a 2.3% growth forecast for 2026, with increased trade with China being a significant factor [1][2] Economic Growth Projections - ECLAC's upward revision reflects an improvement in the external environment affecting the region's economy, with major trading partners performing better than previously expected [1] - For South America, the growth forecast for 2025 is now 2.9%, up from the previous estimate of 2.7%, driven by increased trade with China and a rebound in prices of precious metals and other natural resources [1] - Central America and Mexico are expected to grow by 1.2%, slightly higher than before, mainly due to improved international trade conditions [1] - The Caribbean region (excluding Guyana) has a slightly raised growth forecast of 1.9%, benefiting from strong performance in the tourism sector [1] Recommendations for Regional Countries - ECLAC calls for regional countries to maintain macroeconomic stability, enhance productivity, promote export diversification, expand intra-regional trade, and encourage sustainable investment [2] - The importance of international cooperation and multilateralism is emphasized for consolidating economic recovery and mitigating geopolitical fragmentation [2]
拉加经委会上调2025年拉美和加勒比地区经济增长预期至2.4%
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-10-24 06:06
Core Viewpoint - The United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) has raised its economic growth forecast for the Latin America and Caribbean region to 2.4% for 2025, while maintaining the 2026 growth forecast at 2.3% [1][2]. Economic Growth Projections - The 2025 growth forecast for South America has been increased to 2.9%, up from the previous estimate of 2.7% in August, driven by increased trade with China and a rebound in prices of precious metals and other natural resources [1]. - Central America and Mexico are expected to see a growth of 1.2% [1]. - The Caribbean region (excluding Guyana) has a slightly raised growth forecast of 1.9%, primarily benefiting from better-than-expected performance in the tourism sector [1]. External Environment and Risks - The upward revision reflects a more favorable external environment impacting the region's economy, although multiple downward risks remain, such as slower-than-expected global inflation decline, potential severe adjustments in international financial markets, and rising fiscal sustainability pressures in developed economies [1]. Recommendations for Regional Countries - ECLAC calls for regional countries to maintain macroeconomic stability, enhance productivity, promote export diversification, expand intra-regional trade, and encourage sustainable investment [1]. - The organization emphasizes the importance of international cooperation and multilateralism in consolidating economic recovery momentum and mitigating geopolitical economic fragmentation [1].