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澳洲联储主席Bullock:无法通过采取特定的货币政策来提高生产率。
news flash· 2025-07-24 03:47
澳洲联储主席Bullock:无法通过采取特定的货币政策来提高生产率。 ...
白话经济学十大原理:这些“道理”,藏在每天的生活里
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-20 06:47
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding basic economic principles in daily decision-making and business operations, highlighting that economics is fundamentally about choices and trade-offs [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Principles - Principle 1: There is no such thing as a free lunch; every choice involves trade-offs, and understanding what is sacrificed is crucial for effective decision-making [4]. - Principle 2: The true cost of something is determined by what must be given up to obtain it, known as opportunity cost, which can lead to significant hidden costs for businesses [5]. - Principle 3: Smart individuals focus on marginal changes, evaluating the additional benefits and costs of small adjustments rather than just the overall picture [6][7]. Group 2: Incentives and Trade - Principle 4: People respond to incentives, and understanding how to design effective incentives is essential for guiding behavior in organizations [8][9]. - Principle 5: Trade is mutually beneficial; voluntary exchanges allow both parties to gain, emphasizing the importance of cooperation rather than competition in business [11]. - Principle 6: The market's "invisible hand" typically allocates resources efficiently through supply and demand signals, but this can be hindered in monopolistic situations [12][14]. Group 3: Government Intervention and Economic Health - Principle 7: Sometimes, government intervention is necessary to correct market failures, such as environmental pollution or monopolistic practices [15]. - Principle 8: A country's prosperity is fundamentally linked to its productivity, which determines the standard of living and economic health [17]. - Principle 9: Excessive money printing leads to inflation, diminishing the value of currency and increasing prices [18]. - Principle 10: There is often a trade-off between inflation and unemployment, requiring careful balancing by policymakers [19][20].
6月5日电,美国第一季度生产率终值环比下降0.8%,预估下降0.8%。
news flash· 2025-06-05 12:35
智通财经6月5日电,美国第一季度生产率终值环比下降0.8%,预估下降0.8%。 ...
日本央行前行长白川方明:日本经验表明,人口减少与老龄化会降低生产率
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-05-18 13:11
第一、老年人的消费偏好更倾向于医疗保健领域,而非教育等领域,这会导致生产率增长的下滑。 第二、人口老龄化会使社会对新技术的接受程度降低,而社会能否快速采纳新技术是提升生产率的关键因素。 第三、在人口下降的经济体中,整体生产率会趋于放缓,主要原因在于资源在不同区域间的重新分配变得更为困 难。白川方明表示,"社会人口减少时,维护公共基础设施的费用会更高,这就意味着生产率会降低。问题就是我 们如何快速重新配置生产和资源。" 5月18日,2025清华五道口全球金融论坛在深圳迎来第二天日程。日本央行前行长白川方明用日本经验表示,人口 数量的下降和人口老龄化会降低生产率,这是日本最大的问题。在这一问题上,中国拥有观察日本经验的优势。 尽管许多西方经济学家认为日本经历了因通缩导致的失去的30年,但白川方明认为,日本的低增长与通缩没有关 系,决定生活水准最重要的因素是人均GDP,这由生产率决定。 日本经验表明,人口数量下降和人口老龄化会通过四个方面影响生产率。 白川方明再次强调,要认识到人口构成的变化对经济和社会而言是巨大的挑战。日本在应对这一挑战方面已经落 后,但中国具有一定优势,可以借鉴日本的经验。同时,最为重要的因素是 ...
美联储理事Cook:预计特朗普政府的贸易政策和相关的不确定性将在短期内拖累生产率的增长,这可能促使美联储在更长时间内维持政策利率不变。由于生产率下降,潜在经济增速的下滑将带来更大的通胀压力。在其他条件相同的情况下,较低的生产率可能会促使我支持在更长时间内将利率保持在较高水平。由于企业不知道关税的最终水平或持续时间,贸易政策的不确定性可能会减少商业投资,从而影响生产率。如果保护主义贸易政策支持效率较低的公司,或者如果这些变化导致供应链中断,生产率也可能受到影响。人工智能可以在未来几年提高美国的生产率,潜在地抵
news flash· 2025-05-10 00:10
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Governor Cook anticipates that the trade policies and related uncertainties of the Trump administration will dampen productivity growth in the short term, potentially leading the Fed to maintain policy interest rates unchanged for a longer period [1] Group 1: Economic Impact - A decline in productivity and a slowdown in potential economic growth will likely increase inflationary pressures [1] - Lower productivity, under unchanged conditions, may lead to support for keeping interest rates elevated for an extended duration [1] Group 2: Trade Policy Uncertainty - Uncertainty regarding the final levels and duration of tariffs may reduce business investment, thereby impacting productivity [1] - If protectionist trade policies favor less efficient companies or disrupt supply chains, productivity could also be adversely affected [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Artificial intelligence has the potential to enhance U.S. productivity in the coming years, potentially offsetting the negative impacts of trade policies [1]
5月10日电,美联储COOK表示,关税政策可能会降低生产率,限制潜在产出,增加通胀压力。
news flash· 2025-05-09 23:50
智通财经5月10日电,美联储COOK表示,关税政策可能会降低生产率,限制潜在产出,增加通胀压 力。生产率较低的经济可能需要更高的利率来遏制通货膨胀。 ...
5月8日电,美国第一季度生产率初值环比下降0.8%,预估下降0.8%。
news flash· 2025-05-08 12:34
智通财经5月8日电,美国第一季度生产率初值环比下降0.8%,预估下降0.8%。 ...
美联储主席鲍威尔:大学和科研资金的削减正在某些城市造成重大影响,可能会对生产率产生长期影响。
news flash· 2025-04-16 17:57
美联储主席鲍威尔:大学和科研资金的削减正在某些城市造成重大影响,可能会对生产率产生长期影 响。 ...