十五五物流行业升级
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告别内卷式降本?“十五五”物流行业的升级新路径
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-11-24 14:54
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the logistics industry, but emphasizes a strategic shift towards high-quality development and cost reduction during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [4][12]. Core Insights - The logistics industry is positioned as a key link in the supply chain, with its strategic value elevated under the new development pattern of "dual circulation" [4][12]. - The focus during the "15th Five-Year Plan" will be on reducing costs, improving quality, and expanding market space through multi-dimensional empowerment and structural upgrades [5][12]. Summary by Sections Cost Reduction - The logistics industry faces significant challenges in cost efficiency, primarily due to structural shortcomings and a tendency towards "involutionary cost reduction" [5]. - The report highlights that the ratio of total social logistics costs to GDP is expected to decrease to 14.1% by 2024, down from 14.7% in 2020, indicating a cumulative decline of 0.6 percentage points [6]. - The "Action Plan" aims for this ratio to reach approximately 13.5% by 2027, providing a clear path for cost reduction [6][7]. Capability Enhancement - The logistics sector currently exhibits a lack of comprehensive service capabilities, with a significant number of companies focusing on traditional services rather than high-end solutions [8][9]. - The report identifies three key areas for capability enhancement: digitalization, green transformation, and resilience [9]. - By 2024, the penetration rate of new energy logistics vehicles is projected to exceed 1.5 million units, accounting for 35% of urban delivery vehicles [9][10]. Market Expansion - The report outlines multiple market opportunities for the logistics industry, emphasizing the expansion of rural logistics and the integration with manufacturing and modern agriculture [11]. - The international market is also highlighted, with a focus on enhancing cross-border logistics capabilities and supporting the construction of logistics hubs [11]. - New growth areas such as low-altitude logistics, cold chain logistics, and emergency logistics are emerging as significant opportunities for the industry [11].