单位座收修复
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航空股延续增长趋势 机构料四季度航司将继续大幅减亏 单位座收或显著修复
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 03:05
国泰海通发布研报称,航空自9月进入传统淡季,公商需求是影响票价核心力量。9-10月受益于暑运压 制性公商需求的集中释放,票价同比转升。11 月受会展较少而公商客流同比微降,票价同比升幅略有 收窄。12月或受益年底拜访与团建等增加,公商客流占比有所回升,上旬国内裸票价同比微降,国内含 油票价同比仍保持上升;考虑2024年同期收益管理改善,全月票价同比升幅或继续收窄。该行预计 2025Q4将继续大幅减亏,全年将扭亏。 信达证券(601059)表示,2025年初至今,行业客座率高位持续,国内外航线出行两旺。淡季不淡,客 座率高位、票价有所回正,该行认为航司单位座收或显著修复。2025年1-11月,除国航、吉祥国内线运 力同比有所下降,其余航司国内线运力同比均略有增长;客座率持续高位,三大航国内线客座率同比增 幅明显;除吉祥外,各航司国内线周转量同比均有增长,其中春秋、东航增速达到8.4%、5.9%,其余 航司增速均在5%以内。 航空股延续增长趋势,截至发稿,首都机场(00694)涨4.49%,报2.79港元;东方航空(00670)涨3.43%, 报5.12港元;中国国航(601111)(00753)涨2.82%,报 ...
航空股普跌 暑运后航司运力增速小幅放缓 市场关注行业反内卷措施落实
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 03:33
Group 1 - Airline stocks experienced a broad decline, with China National Aviation (601111) down 8.51% to HKD 5.59, Southern Airlines (600029) down 3.56% to HKD 4.61, Beijing Capital Airport (00694) down 1.4% to HKD 2.81, Eastern Airlines (00670) down 0.75% to HKD 3.96, and Meilan Airport (00357) down 0.57% to HKD 10.49 [1] - Huatai Securities reported that in September, after the summer travel season, the growth rate of airline capacity slightly slowed, while the passenger load factor remained high. Due to a recovery in business travel demand, ticket prices began to show positive year-on-year growth [1] - The three major airlines, along with Spring Airlines and Juneyao Airlines, saw ASK/RPK growth of 3.9% and 7.1% respectively, leading to a 2.6 percentage point increase in passenger load factor to 86.0% [1] Group 2 - Cinda Securities indicated that during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, the industry saw a year-on-year increase in ticket prices, with sustained positive pricing in early October and relatively strong demand [2] - As the fourth quarter enters a low season dominated by business travel, there is potential for significant year-on-year improvement due to last year's low base, which may drive the recovery of airline unit revenue [2] - The industry continues to maintain a high passenger load factor, with both domestic and international routes performing well, and recent ticket prices have consistently shown positive growth [2]