以下文章来源于南风窗 ，作者远游 南风窗 . 冷静地思考，热情地生活。 小地方面对突如其来的灾害， 却难以拿到跟大城市媲美的资源。 文 ｜ 远游 编辑 ｜ 阿树 来源｜ 南风窗（ID：SouthReviews） 封面来源 ｜ pexels 7月5日，传说中的"日本末日大灾难"，并没有降临，但损失却已成真。 进入7月，飞往日本的航班大幅减少。中国香港、中国台湾、韩国等亚洲游客纷纷取消赴日行程。香港多家经营日本旅游的旅行社表示，比起去年同期，今 年订单已经减半。6月下旬至7月上旬的预订量，更是骤降83%。 日本经济学家木内登英指出，末日恐慌，导致日本的入境旅客人数大幅下滑，可能造成高达5600亿日元（约合人民币258.7亿元）的经济损失。 这场风波，皆因一本名为《我看到的未来·完全版》的漫画书。该书初版于1999年，当时的封面提到了一场发生在2011年3月的"大灾难"，被当作是日本3·11 大地震的预言。2021年的再版中，70岁的漫画家龙树谅和出版社添加了一个反复出现的梦境，也就是2025年7月5日4时18分，日本和菲律宾之间的海底构造 断裂，"巨大的海啸卷席太平洋周边国家，海啸的高度是东日本大地震（即3·11 ...

Group 1 - The prediction of a devastating earthquake in Japan on July 5 did not materialize, alleviating concerns for the Japanese government and citizens [1][2] - The rumor originated from a manga artist's book published in 1999, which included various "prophetic dreams," one of which coincidentally matched the timing of the 2011 earthquake [1][2] - The Japanese Meteorological Agency and scientists emphasized that predicting earthquakes accurately is currently impossible due to the lack of scientific evidence supporting such claims [3][6] Group 2 - Japan is located in a seismically active region, experiencing approximately 1,500 earthquakes annually, with significant earthquakes accounting for about 20% of global occurrences [4][5] - The potential economic loss from a major earthquake in the Nankai Trough could exceed 292 trillion yen, with a possible death toll of 298,000 people [5] - Experts warn of the risk of a major earthquake in the Nankai Trough occurring within the next decade, which could also trigger volcanic activity in Mount Fuji [5][6] Group 3 - Current scientific capabilities allow for only seconds of warning before an earthquake, and precise predictions regarding the date and location remain unsolved challenges [6][7] - The complexity of earthquake prediction involves multiple scientific disciplines, and the understanding of earthquake mechanisms is still in its early stages [7][8] - The probability of an 8.0 magnitude earthquake occurring in the Nankai Trough within the next 30 years is estimated at 82%, reflecting an increase from previous assessments [8]