Group 1 - The prediction of a devastating earthquake in Japan on July 5 did not materialize, alleviating concerns for the Japanese government and citizens [1][2] - The rumor originated from a manga artist's book published in 1999, which included various "prophetic dreams," one of which coincidentally matched the timing of the 2011 earthquake [1][2] - The Japanese Meteorological Agency and scientists emphasized that predicting earthquakes accurately is currently impossible due to the lack of scientific evidence supporting such claims [3][6] Group 2 - Japan is located in a seismically active region, experiencing approximately 1,500 earthquakes annually, with significant earthquakes accounting for about 20% of global occurrences [4][5] - The potential economic loss from a major earthquake in the Nankai Trough could exceed 292 trillion yen, with a possible death toll of 298,000 people [5] - Experts warn of the risk of a major earthquake in the Nankai Trough occurring within the next decade, which could also trigger volcanic activity in Mount Fuji [5][6] Group 3 - Current scientific capabilities allow for only seconds of warning before an earthquake, and precise predictions regarding the date and location remain unsolved challenges [6][7] - The complexity of earthquake prediction involves multiple scientific disciplines, and the understanding of earthquake mechanisms is still in its early stages [7][8] - The probability of an 8.0 magnitude earthquake occurring in the Nankai Trough within the next 30 years is estimated at 82%, reflecting an increase from previous assessments [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of a false rumor about a catastrophic earthquake in Japan, which originated from a 1999 manga, and its subsequent effects on tourism and the economy [1][2]. Group 1: Rumor and Its Effects - A rumor about a devastating earthquake in Japan on July 5, 2025, gained traction on social media, leading to significant public concern [1]. - The rumor resulted in a decline in tourism interest from various Asian countries, with an estimated economic loss of 560 billion yen (approximately 25.87 billion yuan) for Japan [2]. Group 2: Official Responses - Japanese government and meteorological agencies quickly debunked the earthquake prediction, emphasizing that earthquakes cannot be accurately predicted [3]. - The Japan Meteorological Agency confirmed that the minor earthquake that occurred on July 5 was unrelated to the rumor, stating that the region has experienced frequent seismic activity due to volcanic activity [4]. Group 3: Seismic Activity Context - The area near the Tokara Islands has recorded at least 1,329 small earthquakes from June 21 to July 5, with historical data indicating such activity occurs every 3-5 years [5]. - The Japan Meteorological Agency reported a 4.8 magnitude earthquake on July 6, with no tsunami risk associated [5]. Group 4: Broader Natural Disaster Context - Japan faces ongoing risks from various natural disasters, including typhoons and extreme weather, exacerbated by climate change [7]. - The country recently experienced its hottest June on record, with an average temperature 2.34 degrees Celsius above the baseline, and is expected to face prolonged heat this summer [7].

Core Viewpoint - A rumor about a catastrophic earthquake in Japan on July 5, 2025, caused significant public concern and impacted tourism, despite no such event occurring [1][3] Group 1: Rumor and Its Impact - The rumor originated from a manga published in 1999, predicting a devastating earthquake, leading to over 250,000 people watching live earthquake reports [1] - The economic loss due to the rumor is estimated at 560 billion yen (approximately 25.87 billion RMB) due to decreased tourism interest [1] Group 2: Official Responses - The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) held a press conference to clarify that the earthquake prediction was unfounded and emphasized the unpredictability of earthquakes [3][4] - Official statements from JMA and other institutions highlighted that the recent seismic activity in the Kagoshima area is unrelated to the rumors and is part of normal volcanic activity [3][4] Group 3: Seismic Activity and Predictions - Between June 21 and July 5, there were at least 1,329 small earthquakes in the Kagoshima region, with the largest being 5.5 magnitude [3] - JMA reported a 4.8 magnitude earthquake on July 6, with no tsunami risk, and reiterated that predicting earthquakes accurately remains a challenge [4][5] Group 4: Broader Natural Disaster Context - Japan faces ongoing threats from extreme weather events, including typhoons and heatwaves, exacerbated by climate change [5] - The government has assessed an 80% probability of an 8.0 magnitude earthquake occurring in the next 30 years, based on geological data [5] Group 5: Safety Measures - The Chinese Embassy in Japan advised citizens to be aware of natural disaster risks and to follow safety protocols during extreme weather [6]

日本全国紧急地震速报的Youtube直播在2025年7月5日当天凌晨4时左右有接近25万人观看（网页截图） 截至日本当地时间7月5日13时，预言中所称的"毁灭性大地震"并未发生。日本气象厅监测显 示，仅鹿儿岛海域有持续两周的群震余波——这些活动在板块交界地带属于正常的地质现象。 然而，关于日本即将发生大规模地震的预言引发了广泛关注，日本全国紧急地震速报的视频直 播在当天凌晨4时吸引了近25万人观看。 近25万人围观地震监测直播 当地时间7月5日凌晨4时，针对日本全国紧急地震速报的YouTube直播吸引了接近25万观众的 实时关注，等待所谓"大地震预言"是否应验。然而，截至东京时间上午11时，日本全境未发生 任何异常地震活动，仅鹿儿岛附近的吐噶喇群岛外海上午8时左右出现5.3级的小规模地震。 日本气象厅当天上午8时30分召开发布会，再次强调"7月5日大地震"纯属谣言，地震无法精确 预测，并呼吁民众回归理性。 谣言来源于一场梦？ 这场关于大地震预言，源于日本漫画家龙树谅1999年出版的漫画《我所看见的未来》。书中记 录了她梦到"2025年7月5日凌晨4时18分，菲律宾海域海底爆炸引发百米海啸，吞噬日本三分之 一国 ...

2025.07. 05 本文字数：1396，阅读时长大约2分钟 来源 | 央视新闻客户端 封面图来源 | 央视新闻客户端 （图片来源：央视新闻客户端） 截至日本当地时间7月5日13时，预言中所称的"毁灭性大地震"并未发生。日本气象厅监测显示，仅 鹿儿岛海域有持续两周的群震余波——这些活动在板块交界地带属于正常的地质现象。然而，关于日 本即将发生大规模地震的预言引发了广泛关注，日本全国紧急地震速报的视频直播在当天凌晨4时吸 引了近25万人观看。 近25万人围观地震监测直播 当地时间7月5日凌晨4时，针对日本全国紧急地震速报的YouTube直播吸引了接近25万观众的实时关 注，等待所谓"大地震预言"是否应验。然而，截至东京时间上午11时，日本全境未发生任何异常地震 活动，仅鹿儿岛附近的吐噶喇群岛外海上午8时左右出现5.3级的小规模地震。 日本气象厅当天上午8时30分召开发布会，再次强调"7月5日大地震"纯属谣言，地震无法精确预测， 并呼吁民众回归理性。 谣言来源于一场梦？ 这场关于大地震预言，源于日本漫画家龙树谅1999年出版的漫画《我所看见的未来》。书中记录了 她梦到" 2025年7月5日凌晨4时18分，菲律宾 ...

紧急辟谣。 据央视新闻，近日，一则关于"日本7月5日将发生毁灭性大地震"的传言在社交平台疯狂传播，引发广泛关注。受此影响，有不少外国游客取消了赴日行程， 日本的旅游业受到影响。随着7月5日即将到来，日本政府和专家纷纷出来辟谣，强调这个传言没有科学根据。 受"预言"影响 日本旅游业受冲击 近期在社交媒体流传的"日本7月5日可能发生大地震"预言，使不少外国游客取消了赴日行程，部分航空公司考虑到访日游客的减少，已缩减了飞往日本的航 班数量，这给日本的旅游业蒙上了一层阴影。 美国游客： 我最先是从我妻子那里听说了 7月5日地震的传言，然后我看了些社交媒体上的视频，也做了些研究。她当时非常担心，一直劝我别来日本。 对于这一不实传言，日本政府和专家纷纷站出来辟谣，强调网传信息缺乏科学根据，呼吁公众理性看待。 日本气象厅更是驳斥其毫无科学依据，纯属"骗局"。 美国游客： 这不过是谣言，并非事实，而且东京地震频发。我们住在旧金山，那里也总有地震，我觉得没人能预测地震。我不相信这些谣言，我们觉得这不 会影响到我们，我们也不会因为谣言就取消航班。 日本气象厅驳斥"地震预言" 称其为骗局 日本气象厅地震海啸监视科科长 海老田绫贵： ...

Core Viewpoint - A rumor about a catastrophic earthquake in Japan on July 5 has spread widely on social media, leading to cancellations of travel plans by foreign tourists and impacting Japan's tourism industry. The Japanese government and experts have refuted this rumor, stating it lacks scientific basis [1][3][10]. Impact on Tourism Industry - The rumor has caused a significant decline in foreign tourist arrivals, prompting some airlines to reduce flight frequencies to Japan due to decreased demand [3]. - Many tourists, particularly from the United States, have expressed concerns based on the rumor but some remain skeptical and choose to continue their travel plans [5][7]. Government and Expert Responses - The Japan Meteorological Agency has labeled the earthquake prediction as a scam, emphasizing that current scientific capabilities do not allow for accurate earthquake predictions regarding time, location, and magnitude [8][11][13]. - Experts, including a retired professor from the University of Tokyo, have stated that there is no scientific evidence supporting the earthquake prediction, reinforcing the idea that such predictions are not feasible with current technology [14][16]. Recent Seismic Activity and Weather Conditions - From June 21 to July 2, there were 911 recorded earthquakes in the vicinity of the Tokara Islands, indicating ongoing seismic activity in the region [18]. - Additionally, Japan experienced its hottest June on record, with an average temperature 2.34 degrees Celsius above the baseline, and is expected to face prolonged high temperatures throughout the summer [18]. Safety Reminders for Residents and Tourists - The Chinese Embassy in Japan has issued reminders for citizens and tourists to be aware of natural disaster risks, urging them to stay informed about seismic and weather alerts and to take necessary precautions [19].

Core Viewpoint - A false rumor about a catastrophic earthquake occurring in Japan on July 5 has circulated widely on social media, causing significant concern and leading to cancellations of travel plans by foreign tourists, thereby impacting Japan's tourism industry [1] Group 1: Impact on Tourism - The spread of the earthquake rumor has led to a notable number of foreign tourists canceling their trips to Japan, which poses a risk to the country's tourism sector [1] - The Japanese government and experts have responded to the rumor, emphasizing that it lacks scientific basis and is unfounded [1] Group 2: Scientific Clarification - The head of the Earthquake and Tsunami Monitoring Division at the Japan Meteorological Agency, Ayataka Ebitani, stated that predicting earthquakes requires three key elements: time, location, and magnitude, which current scientific technology cannot provide [1] - The agency has labeled the rumor as a scam, reinforcing the message that such predictions are not scientifically valid [1]

在分析了26种不同的模拟地震情境后，研究人员发现破裂速度与断裂能（即"撕裂"或"裂开"材料所需的 能量）之间的关系符合线弹性断裂力学的预测。他们的计算机模拟不仅成功再现了实验中的缓慢和快速 地震过程，还在破裂速度、应力下降幅度和光透过率等多个维度与预测结果高度吻合。地震周期中接触 面积的变化会影响诸如电导率、渗透率和地震波透射率等多种可测物理属性。因此，持续监测这些间接 指标，有望揭示断层的行为变化。 这项研究结果揭示了一个长期隐藏的联系：标准地震模型中使用的经验性"状态变量"，其实正对应着断 层面之间的实际接触面积。这是自20世纪70年代以来，地震科学领域第一次对这一关键数学变量给出物 理解释。 这一发现不仅具有理论意义，更可能为现实世界的地震预测带来突破。未来，监测断层真实接触状态的 物理属性可能成为短期预警系统的关键。（完） 美国南加州大学的研究人员介绍说，当两个粗糙表面相互滑动时，实际上只在极小的、孤立的接触点接 触，总接触面积只占整个表面的一小部分。而这一用肉眼无法看到、但可通过光学方法测量的实际接触 面积，正是控制地震行为的关键状态变量。 借助透明的丙烯酸材料，研究人员在实验室"真正看到"了地震破 ...

Core Insights - Earthquakes pose a significant threat to human life and property, with China being one of the most earthquake-prone countries globally, experiencing 33% of the world's continental earthquakes on just 7% of its land area [1] Group 1: Earthquake Characteristics - Earthquakes occur millions of times annually worldwide, with China having a high concentration of seismic activity, affecting approximately 57% of the population and 51% of cities in high-risk areas [1] - The magnitude of an earthquake indicates the energy released, while intensity reflects the impact on the surface; shallow earthquakes (depth < 60 km) are more destructive than deeper ones [1] Group 2: Emergency Response - Alerts will be issued through various channels when an earthquake of magnitude greater than 4 or intensity greater than 5 is anticipated, advising the public to take cover [3] - In case of being trapped under debris, individuals should create a safe space using available materials and signal for help without wasting energy [4] Group 3: Preparedness Measures - Establishing good disaster preparedness habits is crucial, including identifying safety hazards at home, preparing emergency kits, and learning first aid skills [5] - The government plans to enhance earthquake disaster risk management by improving infrastructure resilience and preparing for extreme conditions [6]