印度经济发展

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取代英国成为全球第五大经济体,印度将走向何方?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 14:42
Core Perspective - India's future development will reshape the global political and economic landscape, necessitating a new development path distinct from traditional East Asian models [2][4][16] Group 1: Economic Challenges and Opportunities - India has become the world's fifth-largest economy, surpassing the UK, but faces challenges in sustaining growth and providing employment for its growing labor force [4][6] - The current economic model is under scrutiny, with debates between optimists who believe in government-led growth and pessimists who highlight existing economic cracks and inequalities [4][8] - A significant portion of India's youth is disillusioned, lacking job opportunities and facing high unemployment rates, particularly among women [8][9] Group 2: Government Initiatives and Reforms - The government has made strides in implementing reforms such as a unified Goods and Services Tax and infrastructure development, which are seen as positive steps [9][10] - However, several government initiatives, including smart city projects and agricultural reforms, have not yielded the expected results, indicating a need for more effective strategies [10][12] - The government's approach to job creation remains outdated, relying on protectionism and subsidies rather than fostering skill development [10][14] Group 3: Global Supply Chain Dynamics - The global supply chain landscape is shifting, with companies reconsidering their production locations due to geopolitical tensions and the impact of the pandemic [8][12] - India faces intense competition from countries like China and Malaysia, which have improved their logistics and labor skills, making it challenging for India to attract manufacturing investments [14][16] - The traditional low-skill manufacturing model may not be viable for India, necessitating a focus on higher-value industries and innovation [14][16]