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美对印关税再增至50%,已落后的印度股市会面临新调整吗?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 08:07
Group 1: Tariff Impact - The U.S. has announced an additional 25% tariff on imports from India, raising the total tariff rate to 50%, making India one of the countries with the highest tariffs imposed by the U.S. [1] - Analysts predict that the Indian stock market will face adjustment pressure, particularly in sectors such as oil, pharmaceuticals, textiles, footwear, and jewelry, which are expected to be the most affected [1][4] Group 2: Market Reaction - The Indian benchmark SENSEX index opened lower but quickly rebounded, stabilizing with a decline of about 0.2%, while the Nifty 50 index also showed a similar pattern [3] - Market participants believe the initial muted response may be due to expectations that India has sufficient time for negotiations, with some analysts suggesting the tariff increase may be more symbolic than substantive [3][4] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - If the trade relationship with the U.S. deteriorates, especially amid slowing economic growth, investors may adopt a cautious long-term outlook on the Indian stock market [4] - Foreign investors sold $2 billion worth of Indian stocks in July and an additional $900 million in August, indicating a trend of withdrawal from the Indian market [4] Group 4: Sector-Specific Impacts - Approximately 20% of India's export goods (accounting for 2% of GDP) are directed towards the U.S., with sectors like gems and jewelry, apparel, footwear, textiles, and chemicals being the most vulnerable [6] - The pharmaceutical sector, despite being perceived as resilient, has seen significant declines, with the NSE Nifty pharmaceutical index breaking key technical support levels [7]