Workflow
历史大势
icon
Search documents
苏琦:每个人都认为自己顺应了历史大势
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2026-02-15 03:03
当人们平心静气深入思考过去、当下和未来,其实不难发现,所谓稳定的秩序和格局,从来都充满张力暗流涌动,阶段性扰动乃至重组是常态,"帕累托 改进"你好我好全都好的繁华年代则不常见。 编者按:随着2025年的结束,这个世纪已过去四分之一个年头。这四分之一个世纪给我们留下了什么?或许目前为止,更多的是变化中的措手不及和对未 来的茫然。曾经脚下坚实的地面正在一点点偏移、开裂,所有人都亟需找到新的立足点。 好在还有阅读。任时代如何变化,书籍永远可以给予我们启示,甚至可以说,书籍正是审视变动的产物。一代代写作者都在尝试给出自己的回答。而我 们,作为阅读者,也同时承受着这份考验。 《欧洲告急》把丘吉尔和奥威尔在二战前后的命运交叉展现,乍看之下颇令人不解,二人的政治和职业生涯交叉之处并不算多,顶多算是平行或勉强的前 后脚(比如在印度和缅甸的殖民地时光)关系。政治立场也迹近光谱的两端,一个偏左,一个偏右。 经观书评推出新年特辑"寻找新的立足点",邀请各界读书人分享他们在2025年的阅读与思考。本期作者是作家邓安庆,他说: "我相信,时间的确有如此淘洗的伟力。当时间之河毫不留情地流向2026年时,每一个普通人都将继续努力过好自己的 ...
苏琦:每个人都认为自己顺应了历史大势|春来好读书
经济观察报· 2026-02-15 02:55
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the inherent instability and tension within historical orders and structures, emphasizing that disruptions and reorganizations are the norm rather than the exception, contrasting with the rare periods of mutual prosperity known as "Pareto improvements" [1][23]. Group 1: Historical Context and Analysis - The article reflects on the changes and uncertainties experienced in the first quarter of the century, highlighting the need for individuals to find new footholds amidst shifting ground [2]. - It mentions the significance of reading as a means to gain insights into these changes, suggesting that literature serves as a product of examining transformations [2]. - The narrative intertwines the lives of Churchill and Orwell, illustrating their roles as solitary figures who opposed the prevailing narratives of their times, ultimately contributing to the salvation of Europe during crises [7][8]. Group 2: Political Dynamics - The article outlines the contrasting views within Churchill's camp, where some extreme right conservatives viewed lower classes as threats while others were disillusioned with democracy and found solace in the efficiency of fascist regimes [7][8]. - It highlights Churchill's awareness of Nazi ambitions and his belief that confronting fascism early would mitigate greater losses, contrasting with Orwell's recognition of the dangers of Stalinist totalitarianism [8][9]. - The text also discusses Gandhi's and Churchill's opposing views on colonial governance, with Churchill believing in the civilizing mission of British rule in India, while Gandhi represented a push for independence [9][12]. Group 3: Contemporary Implications - The article posits that the current global landscape is marked by significant upheaval, including the rise of AI, climate change, and increasing nationalism, which collectively signify a "chaotic" period between two major historical trends [23][24]. - It notes the resilience of global political and economic systems in the face of challenges, suggesting that interconnectedness has provided a buffer against widespread disruption [24]. - The conclusion emphasizes the ongoing quest for a stable new order in a world characterized by disorder and reorganization, suggesting that historical patterns of division and unity continue to play out [24][25].