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安克创新(300866):2025Q3外部扰动下收入表现稳健,安防及扫地机持续高增,毛利率超预期提升
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-10-30 11:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its performance and growth potential [10][15]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated robust revenue performance in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 19.9% and a net profit growth of 27.8%. The gross margin exceeded expectations, reflecting strong operational capabilities [6][8]. - The report highlights the sustained high growth in the security and robotic vacuum cleaner segments, while the charging and energy storage business faced temporary disruptions due to recalls and high base effects from the previous year [7][8]. - The company is expected to benefit from product upgrades and a global supply chain strategy, which will help maintain stable profitability in the long term [8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for Q3 2025 reached 81.5 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 44.6%. The net profit margin was 9.4%, showing a 0.6 percentage point increase year-on-year [6][8]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow significantly over the next few years, with estimates of 31.17 billion yuan in 2025, 38.76 billion yuan in 2026, and 47.45 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 26.1% [9][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from 4.97 yuan in 2025 to 7.59 yuan in 2027, indicating strong profitability growth [9][12]. Segment Performance - Domestic revenue grew by 22% and international revenue by 28% in the first three quarters of 2025. Online and offline sales increased by 25% and 34%, respectively [7]. - The report anticipates a recovery in the charging and energy storage business as the impact of recalls diminishes and new products are launched [7][8].