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诺邦股份:投资价值分析报告具备工匠精神的水刺无纺布头部企业-20250525
EBSCN· 2025-05-25 10:25
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 20.90 CNY, corresponding to a PE ratio of approximately 33 times for 2025 [4][14][6]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading player in the domestic water-jet non-woven fabric industry, demonstrating a long-term commitment to craftsmanship. The penetration rate of water-jet non-woven fabrics is on the rise, with diverse downstream applications such as wet wipes and oral nicotine pouches showing rapid growth [12][51][67]. - The company's three main business segments—roll materials, products, and proprietary brands—are developing synergistically, with strong performance in 2024 and Q1 2025. The roll material segment is expanding its capacity for differentiated and flushable materials, while the product segment, led by Guoguang, is gradually entering high-margin clients [4][12][33]. Company Overview - Founded in 2002, the company specializes in the R&D, production, and sales of differentiated and personalized water-jet non-woven materials and products. Its products are primarily used in beauty care, industrial materials, household cleaning, and medical materials [22][23]. - The company achieved a revenue of 2.24 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 95.23 million CNY, up 15.2% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue and net profit grew by 39.1% and 48.6% respectively [1][4][23]. Industry Situation - The water-jet non-woven fabric market is characterized by high demand due to its breathable, soft, lightweight, and antibacterial properties, making it suitable for disposable consumer products and beauty care markets. The production of water-jet non-woven fabrics reached 151,000 tons in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.6% from 2018 to 2023 [2][55]. - The Chinese wet wipes market is projected to reach 12.92 billion CNY in 2024, with a CAGR of 5.0% from 2024 to 2029, indicating significant growth potential in this segment [2][68]. Business Highlights - The roll material segment has advanced production lines and strong technical innovation capabilities, with the company being the only one in China capable of mass-producing flushable materials for the U.S. market. The company is increasing the proportion of differentiated and flushable materials in its production [3][12]. - The product segment, primarily through its subsidiary Guoguang, has a comprehensive product line for wet wipes, achieving a revenue growth of 26.6% in 2024 and over 40% in Q1 2025. Guoguang is expanding its partnerships with major retailers and acquiring new clients [3][12]. - The proprietary brand "Xiaozhijia" is rapidly growing, with a revenue increase of 80.6% year-on-year in 2024, supported by the company's technical strength [3][12]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 2.62 billion CNY, 3.10 billion CNY, and 3.60 billion CNY in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.31%, 18.09%, and 16.25%. Net profits are projected to be 112 million CNY, 136 million CNY, and 163 million CNY for the same years, with growth rates of 17.61%, 21.35%, and 19.80% respectively [4][14][5].