司法克制原则

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海外政策|特朗普关税再遭裁定违法,后续走向如何?
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-09-01 01:20
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Court of Appeals ruled that Trump's tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) are illegal, but this does not mean an immediate suspension of the tariffs as Trump plans to appeal to the Supreme Court [1][3][4]. Summary by Sections Court Ruling and Implications - The U.S. Court of Appeals determined that Trump's use of IEEPA to impose tariffs exceeded the authority granted by the act, which does not explicitly allow for tariff imposition [3][7]. - The ruling was passed with a 7-4 majority, maintaining the validity of tariffs until October 14, 2025, allowing time for Trump's appeal to the Supreme Court [3][4]. Future Legal Proceedings - The Supreme Court is expected to review the case after its summer recess ends on September 29, with a potential decision on whether to extend the suspension of the ruling by October 14 [4][5]. - Historical precedents suggest that Supreme Court decisions can take several months, with the earliest possible ruling by the end of the year and the latest by summer 2026 [4][5]. Economic and Trade Impact - The ruling does not immediately disrupt import and export activities, as the tariffs will remain in effect during the appeal process [8]. - Despite the tariffs, strong demand from non-U.S. regions is expected to mitigate some of the downward pressure on exports from China [8][10]. Export Growth and Trade Diversification - In the first seven months of 2025, China's exports to ASEAN and Africa grew by 13.5% and 24.5%, respectively, indicating a shift towards trade diversification [10]. - The growth in high-tech and machinery exports also supports the overall export performance, with significant increases noted in new energy and advanced manufacturing sectors [10].