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宏观金融数据日报-20260331
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2026-03-31 05:06
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The inter - bank market liquidity remains loose, with the weighted average interest rate of DR001 staying around 1.31%. The central bank requires continuous improvement of the systematic financial risk prevention and resolution system [4]. - The Middle - East geopolitical situation dominates the current capital market. After the weekend escalation of the Middle - East situation, the stock index opened lower and weakened, but market sentiment marginally recovered with policy support. In the short term, the overseas geopolitical situation may suppress the stock index, but the possibility of policy support increases after a significant market decline, and the further decline space of the stock index is limited. It is advisable to pay attention to long - position layout opportunities after the alleviation of geopolitical disturbances and control positions [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro - financial Data - **Interest Rates**: DRO01 closed at 1.31%, down 0.42bp; DR007 at 1.43%, down 1.07bp; GC001 at 1.51%, up 37.50bp; GC007 at 1.49%, down 2.50bp; SHBOR 3M at 1.51%, unchanged; LPR 5 - year at 3.50%, unchanged; 1 - year treasury bond at 1.41%, down 2.00bp; 5 - year treasury bond at 1.67%, down 2.00bp; 10 - year treasury bond at 1.95%, down 1.65bp; 10 - year US treasury bond at 4.44%, up 2.00bp [3]. - **Central Bank Operations**: The central bank conducted 269.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations with an operating rate of 1.40%. With 8 billion yuan of repurchase expiring, the net investment on the day was 261.5 billion yuan [3]. 3.2 Stock Index Futures - **Stock Index Movements**: The CSI 300 fell 0.24% to 4492, the SSE 50 fell 0.14% to 2833.2, the CSI 500 rose 0.21% to 7753.7, and the CSI 1000 rose 0.28% to 7767.9. The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 1,927.8 billion yuan, an increase of 63.8 billion yuan from the previous trading day. Industry sectors showed more gains than losses, with precious metals, industrial metals, aerospace equipment, non - ferrous metals, pharmaceutical commerce, and agro - chemical products leading the gains, while power, public utilities, photovoltaic equipment, and insurance sectors leading the losses [6]. - **Futures Contracts**: For IF, the closing price of the current - month contract was 4472, down 0.2%; for IH, the current - month contract was 2829, down 0.1%; for IC, the current - month contract was 7707, unchanged; for IM, the current - month contract was 7696, unchanged. The trading volume of IF was 94,739, up 53; the trading volume of IH was 45,981, up 3.7; the trading volume of IC was 159,513, up 2.0; the trading volume of IM was 236,925, up 4.8. The open interest of IF was 253,648, down 2.0%; the open interest of IH was 101,512, down 0.4%; the open interest of IC was 281,424, down 2.2%; the open interest of IM was 386,822, up 1.0% [5]. - **Premium and Discount Situations**: The premium rates of IF for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts were 8.83%, 3.45%, 7.82%, and 7.64% respectively; for IH, they were 3.01%, 1.18%, 3.31%, and 4.67% respectively; for IC, they were 12.27%, 10.14%, 11.22%, and 10.03% respectively; for IM, they were 18.83%, 14.72%, 15.00%, and 13.26% respectively [7].