（原标题：世界银行下调对巴国内生产总值预测） 世界银行将对巴西2026年GDP预测从2.2%下调至2%，原因主要是巴西实际利率、贸易摩擦和全球 经济不确定等。 ...

Core Insights - The Brazilian Central Bank's first 2026 Focus Bulletin indicates stable market expectations regarding inflation, exchange rates, benchmark interest rates, and GDP growth [1] Group 1: Inflation and Exchange Rate - The inflation forecast for the end of 2026 has been slightly adjusted upwards to 4.06% [1] - The expected exchange rate for the US dollar against the Brazilian real at the end of 2026 is set at 5.50 BRL [1] Group 2: Benchmark Interest Rate - The benchmark interest rate (Selic) is projected to decrease from 15% at the end of 2025 to 12.25% by the end of 2026 [1]