Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in waste incineration, with a significant cash flow turning point expected, leading to potential increases in dividends [6][7]. - The company has a total waste-to-energy capacity of 150,400 tons/day, ranking first in the industry, and is supported by its major shareholder, China Everbright Group, which holds 43.07% of the company [6][21]. - The report anticipates a recovery in profitability due to improved operational income, reduced impairment, and lower financial costs [6][54]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has been focused on environmental protection for over 20 years, with a waste incineration capacity of 150,400 tons/day as of the end of 2024, leading the industry [17][28]. - The company operates in three main segments: Environmental Energy, Green Environmental Protection, and Water Services, with the Environmental Energy segment contributing 87% to the net profit in 2024 [6][24]. Financial Summary and Profit Forecast - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected at HKD 30,258 million, with a year-on-year decline of 7%, and a net profit of HKD 3,377 million, down 24% year-on-year [5][54]. - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be HKD 3,589 million, HKD 3,810 million, and HKD 4,055 million respectively, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 8x leading to a target market value of HKD 28,710 million, indicating a 23% upside potential [5][7]. Operational Improvements - The company has seen a significant reduction in capital expenditures (Capex), from HKD 22.8 billion in 2021 to HKD 5.1 billion in 2024, contributing to a positive free cash flow of HKD 4.416 billion for the first time [6][7]. - The operating cash flow is expected to improve due to accelerated national subsidies, with an adjusted operating cash flow of HKD 9.52 billion anticipated for 2024 [6][7]. Dividend Potential - The company has a current dividend yield of 6.04%, with a historical dividend payout ratio of approximately 31%, expected to increase to 42% in 2024 [6][7]. - The report suggests that with improving profits and cash flow, there is significant potential for future dividend increases [6][7]. Market Perception - The market has not fully recognized the company's potential for profit recovery and dividend increases, primarily due to the complexity of its financial statements [9][10].