Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview Real Estate Market - New home sales in core cities are still experiencing negative growth, while the second-hand housing market saw significant increases in transaction volume year-on-year and month-on-month due to early demand for school district properties and supply lagging behind, leading to a rise in both volume and price [1][3] - Anticipation for continued market heat in March, with April's performance dependent on policy support. A potential policy package similar to that of September 24, 2024, could signal a fundamental turning point in core urban areas by the end of 2026 [1][4] - Real estate stocks typically lead the fundamentals by 2-3 quarters, suggesting Q2 may be a good time to increase allocations [4] Construction and Building Materials - The construction and building materials sector is currently in a subdued state, with many projects halted due to the approaching Spring Festival and downstream demand not yet released [6] - Cement prices are continuously declining, with a recent drop of 0.8%. Glass demand is shrinking, and prices remain stable, while manufacturers of consumer building materials are promoting price increases [6][10] - The sector is at historical low levels, presenting opportunities for capital rebalancing [7] Express Delivery Industry - Domestic express delivery business saw a high growth rate of approximately 20% in January, influenced by the timing of the Spring Festival. There is a noticeable divergence in growth rates among leading companies [8] - Jitu Express benefits from the rapid growth of TikTok in Southeast Asia and Latin America, predicting high growth in shipment volume for Q1 due to promotional activities [8] Oil Transportation Industry - Since August 2025, oil transportation rates have significantly increased due to improved supply-demand dynamics and tightening sanctions. The BDTI index has nearly doubled year-on-year as of February 2, 2026 [9][11] - The mid-term outlook suggests continued upward pressure on rates due to geopolitical events and sanctions, providing substantial earnings elasticity for companies in this sector [11] Chemical Logistics - Chemical prices have gradually recovered since late 2025, although they remain at five-year lows. The industry is expected to experience a recovery in trade activity and inventory digestion, leading to improved logistics conditions [12] Civil Aviation - Domestic civil aviation demand is robust, with January passenger volume increasing nearly 9% year-on-year. The Spring Festival period is expected to exceed historical peak levels for passenger volume [13][14] - The average ticket price has increased by 2.4% year-on-year, with a notable rise in pre-sale ticket prices expected in the coming weeks [13][14] Road Transportation - High-speed road freight throughput reached 241 million vehicles in January, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.8%. Predictions indicate significant population movement during the Spring Festival, with a projected increase in passenger volume [15] Key Recommendations - For real estate, focus on companies like China Merchants Shekou, New Town Holdings (A-shares), and China Resources Land (H-shares) [5] - In the construction sector, consider leading firms such as Yuhong, Sankeshu, Tubao, and China Jushi [7] - In the express delivery sector, maintain a watch on leading domestic companies and Jitu Express for overseas delivery [16] - For oil transportation, prioritize companies like China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping Energy [11] - In the chemical logistics space, look at companies like Meikewei, Xingtong Co., and Hongtan Wisdom for potential performance rebounds [12] - In civil aviation, monitor the evolving pricing strategies of airlines as they shift towards price control [14]

摩根大通发表研究报告指，香港特区政府新一份施政报告将于9月17日发表，市场憧憬或放宽新资本投 资者入境计划、住宅物业印花税及设立购房资金通计划。摩通对于当局会否一次过推出所有措施存有疑 问，认为现时楼市已见回稳迹象，若最终出台的政策力度较预期弱，施政报告公布后地产股或出现短期 获利回吐。 该行又指，发表施政报告翌日美联储亦将公布议息结果，根据过往纪录，若减息符合预期，香港地产股 表现普遍逊于大市。不过摩通对本地地产行业未来一年前景仍持正面看法，建议可趁低吸纳，在发展商 中较看好恒基地产及信和置业；收租股方面，建议风险胃纳较低投资者选择太古地产及领展，同时认为 恒隆地产及九龙仓置业有较大上行空间。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of ETFs and highlights the trend of fixed income investors maintaining positions in real estate stocks despite market fluctuations [1] Group 1: ETF Evolution - The article outlines the increasing popularity of ETFs as investment vehicles, particularly in the context of changing market dynamics [1] - It emphasizes the role of ETFs in providing liquidity and diversification for investors [1] Group 2: Fixed Income and Real Estate Stocks - Fixed income investors are reportedly holding onto real estate stocks, indicating a strategic choice amidst market uncertainties [1] - The article notes that this trend may reflect a belief in the stability and potential growth of the real estate sector [1]