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招行年报里的十大真相
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-18 14:42
Core Viewpoint - The annual report of China Merchants Bank (CMB) for 2023 shows negative revenue growth but positive net profit growth, leading to a significant increase in stock price, indicating market satisfaction with the report. However, the overall economic environment presents more challenges than opportunities, and the actual operational difficulties outweigh the achievements [1][67]. Group 1: Revenue and Profit Analysis - CMB's total revenue for 2023 was 339.1 billion, a decrease of 1.64% compared to 2022, reflecting weakened earning capacity [19][80]. - Both net interest income and non-interest income experienced a decline of 1.6%, indicating a contraction in profit margins and a lack of growth in core business areas [20][82]. - The increase in net profit, despite falling revenue, was primarily due to a significant reduction in credit impairment losses, which decreased by approximately 150 billion, allowing for a positive net profit outcome [24][85]. Group 2: Cost Management and Efficiency - CMB has successfully reduced employee costs, with the average cost per employee decreasing from 625,000 to 604,000, despite an increase in the number of employees [15][16]. - The effectiveness of cost-cutting measures is questioned, as the overall reduction in employee costs is relatively low compared to other industries [16][18]. Group 3: Deposit Trends - There is a concerning trend of increasing "deposit regularization," with corporate fixed deposits rising from 22% to 24.7% and personal fixed deposits increasing from 14.87% to 20.4% [32][92]. - The high cost of deposits is a significant risk, as the bank's deposit rates remain elevated despite multiple reductions in deposit costs throughout the year [30][90]. Group 4: Insurance Income Challenges - CMB's non-interest income from insurance sales, which is a crucial revenue source, is expected to face significant challenges in 2024 due to declining pricing and regulatory changes [36][98]. - The overall income from insurance sales increased by 9.33% to 136 billion, but this growth is overshadowed by declines in other areas such as fund and trust sales [37][98]. Group 5: Market Position and Future Outlook - CMB has played a role in driving the bond bull market, with bond interest income increasing by over 20%, which has helped offset some revenue losses [43][104]. - The bank is focusing on overseas markets, with a 14.78% increase in foreign exchange net income, indicating a strategic shift to capture new revenue streams [47][48].