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专访北大李国平:城市发展动能将转换,创新成为新动力
Core Insights - The recent Central Urban Work Conference marks a significant shift in China's urbanization strategy, transitioning from rapid growth to stable development, emphasizing quality over quantity in urban planning [4][9][10] - The conference outlines six modernization goals for urban development, focusing on innovation, livability, beauty, resilience, civilization, and intelligence [12][13] - The need for urban renewal is highlighted, with a shift from large-scale land development to enhancing existing urban spaces and addressing aging infrastructure [14][15][16] Urbanization Trends - China's urbanization rate has increased from 57.3% in 2015 to an expected 67.0% in 2024, indicating that two-thirds of the population now lives in urban areas [4][5] - The urbanization process is entering a later stage, where growth rates will slow down significantly, with projections suggesting a plateau at around 80% to 85% [5][9] - Population changes, including a decrease in total population and an increase in aging demographics, necessitate a shift in urban development strategies [5][6][10] Development Strategies - The conference advocates for a multi-center, networked urban development model to enhance cities' capacity to accommodate population and economic growth [2][18] - Urban management should adapt to the natural trends of population movement, allowing for greater flexibility in attracting residents to larger cities while supporting smaller cities [10][19] - The focus on urban renewal will involve upgrading existing neighborhoods, improving public services, and addressing safety concerns in older buildings [15][16][17] Innovation and Quality of Life - Innovation is positioned as a primary driver for urban development, emphasizing the role of technology and institutional reforms in fostering new growth dynamics [12][17] - The emphasis on livability and beauty reflects a growing demand for higher quality urban environments that cater to diverse resident needs [12][13] - Urban renewal efforts will prioritize enhancing the quality of life for residents, particularly in light of the aging population and changing consumer preferences [15][16][20] Urban System Optimization - The goal of optimizing the urban system involves balancing the development of large, medium, and small cities to ensure coordinated growth [20][21] - Strengthening connections between cities within urban clusters and enhancing the influence of central cities on surrounding areas are critical for future urban planning [21]