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增收-消费-增长良性循环
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上海交通大学朱启贵:中央经济工作会议首提“城乡居民增收计划”,构建“增收-消费-增长”良性循环
Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference has introduced the "Urban and Rural Residents Income Increase Plan," marking a significant shift in policy focus towards a comprehensive approach to boost income across all urban and rural residents, rather than just targeting low-income groups [1][2][3] Policy Framework - The plan represents a transition from a principle-based approach to a systematic design, integrating income growth into the national strategic framework with specific quantitative indicators and implementation timelines [2][3] - It emphasizes a comprehensive layout of "lowering the low, expanding the middle, and limiting the high," aiming to enhance wage income through skill training and job retention, while also broadening channels for property income [3][4] Economic Cycle - The relationship between income increase, domestic demand expansion, and consumption is described as a "trinity" economic cycle, where increased income drives consumption, which in turn supports economic growth [4][5] - The plan aims to enhance residents' consumption propensity by increasing disposable income, thereby addressing the current imbalance between supply and demand [5] Implementation Strategies - The income increase plan is a multi-faceted approach requiring collaboration across various policy areas, including fiscal, monetary, employment, social security, and distribution policies [6][7] - Key strategies include maintaining necessary fiscal deficits, optimizing spending structures, and ensuring financial support for public services and transfer payments [6][7] Pathways to Income Increase - Four main pathways for achieving income increase are identified: 1. Expanding employment and enhancing wage income through job stability and skill improvement [8] 2. Increasing property income by stabilizing capital markets and promoting inclusive financial services [8] 3. Enhancing transfer income through social security and direct fiscal policies [8] 4. Improving operating net income by supporting small and micro enterprises and fostering entrepreneurship [8] Conclusion - The Urban and Rural Residents Income Increase Plan is a critical initiative for the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, aiming to create a virtuous cycle of "income—consumption—growth" through systemic innovation and coordinated macro policies [9][10]