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东吴证券:保险业分红转型缓解利差压力 增配OCI股票提升投资韧性
智通财经网· 2025-09-02 06:01
Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is experiencing continuous improvement in both liabilities and assets, with significant upward valuation potential remaining. The market's savings demand remains strong, and with regulatory guidance and proactive transformation by insurance companies, liability costs are expected to gradually decrease, alleviating pressure from interest margin losses [1] Group 1: Profitability Indicators - The combined net profit of A-share listed insurance companies grew by 4.4% in the first half of 2025, with Q2 growth improving sequentially, primarily driven by increased investment income. Notably, New China Life Insurance saw a year-on-year increase of 34% due to greater elasticity in equity investments [1] - The net assets of five A-share insurance companies increased by 1.1% compared to the beginning of the year, while the embedded value (EV) grew by 5.7% [1] - Mid-term dividends have generally increased rapidly, with stable payout ratios; New China Life's dividends rose by 24% year-on-year, outpacing peers [1] Group 2: Life Insurance - New business value (NBV) maintained rapid growth, with significant contributions from the bancassurance channel. In Q2, new single premium growth improved sequentially, with over 90% of new business from Taiping being participating insurance [2] - The average NBV of listed insurance companies increased by 31% year-on-year, with notable growth from PICC Life and New China Life at 72% and 58%, respectively [2] - The average value rate of listed insurance companies improved by 4.3 percentage points, driven by factors such as the reduction of preset interest rates and the deepening of integrated operations [2] Group 3: Property Insurance - Property insurance premiums showed steady growth, with a 4% year-on-year increase in premiums for listed insurance companies, and Ping An recorded the highest growth rate at 7% [3] - The average combined cost ratio improved to 96.1%, a year-on-year improvement of 1.5 percentage points, attributed to reduced disaster claims and better expense management [3] - PICC achieved a combined cost ratio of 95.3%, marking the best level for the same period in nearly a decade [3] Group 4: Investment - The investment asset scale of the five listed insurance companies grew by 7.5% compared to the beginning of the year [4] - The average net investment yield for listed insurance companies decreased by 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to declining interest rates, while the total investment yield (excluding Taiping) increased by 0.1 percentage points, driven by a recovery in the stock market [4] - There was a significant increase in equity investments, with the average proportion of FVOCI stocks rising by 7.2 percentage points to approximately 41% [4]