策略早餐 主要品种策略早餐 （2025.06.30） 金融期货和期权 股指期货 品种：IF、IH、IC、IM 日内观点：震荡偏强 中期观点：偏强 参考策略：持有卖出 MO2507-P-5800 虚值看跌期权、IM2507 多单 核心逻辑： 1.中美双方进一步确认了框架细节，取消了部分限制，利多权益市场情绪。伦 敦会谈后，中美双方团队保持着密切沟通。经批准，双方进一步确认了框架细节， 中方将依法审批符合条件的管制物项出口申请，美方将相应取消对华采取的一系列 限制性措施。 2.国内方面，基本面回归偏弱现实，政策提振内需预期逐步兑现。央行等六部 门联合发布《关于金融支持提振和扩大消费的指导意见》，支持政策提前落地。随 后，国家发展改革委表示将于今年 7 月份下达今年第三批消费品以旧换新资金。进 一步提振权益市场。 中期观点：偏强 请务必阅读文末免责条款 1 策略早餐 3.国常会定调，进一步强化企业科技创新主体地位，强调以"十年磨一剑"的 坚定决心，加快推进高水平科技自立自强，科创板块有望延续涨势，IC 或 IM 继续 占优。 国债期货 品种：TS、TF、T、TL 日内观点：震荡偏强 参考策略：T2509 或 TL2 ...

| CTERRETT | | | 日度策略参考 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 人业资格号:F02517 | | | | | 行业板块 | 品种 | 趋势研判 | 逻辑观点精粹及策略参考 当前国内因素对股指的驱动力度不强,基本面表现偏弱,政策上 | | | | 六合 | 相对真空。海外变量主导股指的短期波动,近几日中美经贸现积 | | | | | 极信号,预计股指短期偏强震荡。不过,节奏上警惕中美关税信 号的反复,谨慎追涨。 | | 宏观金融 | 国债 | 震荡 | 资产荒和弱经济利好债期,但短期央行提示利率风险,压制上涨 空间。 | | | 黄金 | 震荡 | 短期或震荡运行;中长期上涨逻辑仍旧坚实。 | | | 日银 | 看多 -GB | 短期料延续偏强运行,但仍需警惕冲高回落风险。 | | | 국교 | 震荡 | 中美新一轮会谈提振市场风险偏好,铜价偏强运行,但电铜供应 充足,价格上行空间受限。 | | | | | 近期国内电解铝社会库存持续下滑,电解铝低库存对铝价仍有支 | | | | 10 | 撑。但宏观情绪反复,且国内铝下游需求转淡,铝价或震荡偏弱 | | | | | ...

| | | | 销销售下游接受度较低。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 乙三醇 | | 煤价下跌使得煤制乙二醇利润扩张,美国乙烷进口近期受阻对国 内乙二醇装置产生影响。乙二醇延续去库的节奏,到港量将会减 | | | | | 少。聚酯减产对市场有一定的冲击,某东北大型装置已经充重启 | | | | | PTA略有紧张的局面已经开始得到了一定的缓解,并且在高基差的 | | 能源化工 | 短纤 | 看空 | 情况下,短纤成本跟随紧密。短纤工厂已经出现检修计划,集中 | | | | | 于华东区域的工厂。 | | | 本人席 | | 市场投机需求有所走弱,纯苯价格已经开始走弱,苯乙烯装置负 荷回升,苯乙烯库存上升,基差也有所走弱。苯乙烯现货价格与 | | | | | 盘面继续割裂,苯乙烯基差快速走弱。 | | | 求書 | 農汤 | 尿素日产依旧高位运行,需求方面随着尿素出口法检明朗,短期 | | | | | 出口需求预期提升。综合来看,尿素行情或将迎来反弹周期。 | | | 田園 | | 甲醇内地开工维持高位、到港量逐步增多,逐步进入累库通道。 而传统下游需求延续疲软,维持刚需采购节 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the restaurant industry. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in new product launches across six major categories in the restaurant industry, with a total of 896 new products launched in April 2025, representing a month-on-month growth of 55.8% [5][12][14]. Summary by Sections Overall New Product Overview - In April 2025, 174 out of 329 monitored brands launched new products, accounting for 52.9% of the sample [11][12]. - The new product count across six categories showed positive growth, with the highest increase seen in the noodle category, which surged by 118.6% [14][33]. Western Fast Food - In April, 19 Western fast food brands introduced 112 new products, marking a 93.1% increase from March [13][26]. - The most common new product categories included pizza and light meals, each accounting for 17.0% of the new launches [17][26]. Noodle Products - A total of 94 new noodle products were launched by 24 brands, with a remarkable increase of 118.6% compared to March [33]. - The most prevalent new product category was soup noodles, which made up 25.5% of the new launches [32][33]. Tea Drinks - 55 tea brands launched 183 new products in April, with fruit tea being the most popular category, accounting for 38.3% of the new launches [39]. - The price range for new tea products was primarily concentrated between 15 and 20 yuan per cup, representing 52.2% of the total [39]. Coffee Drinks - 23 coffee brands introduced 80 new products, with latte products being the most common, comprising 37.5% of the new launches [49]. - The focus on health-oriented products was evident, with many new offerings featuring low-sugar and low-fat attributes [49][50]. Bakery Products - 33 bakery brands launched 325 new products, with Chinese pastries leading the way at 33.5% of the total new products [60]. - The report noted a trend towards incorporating seasonal elements and floral flavors in new bakery items [58][60].